مدرسة الاحتمالات

Janice Tjen v Alina Charaeva

البداية: 2026-04-22 13:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Janice Tjen (المضيف)

التنبؤ 67.50%1.48السعر العادل
EV +47.14%
الأفضلية +21.62%
Kelly +39.95%
النمو +18.83%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.10%64.62%67.76%73.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.281.561.402.1878.13%64.14%71.43%45.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alina Charaeva (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.50%3.08السعر العادل
EV +13.76%
الأفضلية +3.93%
Kelly +5.50%
النمو +0.758%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.78%35.38%32.24%55.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.702.632.883.5058.82%37.99%34.72%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV +47.14%E +21.62%K +39.95%G +18.83%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -44.09%E -25.64%K -61.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 13:25
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +45.79%E +21.20%K +39.48%G +18.08%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -43.44%E -24.97%K -58.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 13:35
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV +39.72%E +19.19%K +37.12%G +14.74%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -42.79%E -24.31%K -56.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 13:24
ReBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV +39.72%E +19.19%K +37.12%G +14.74%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -42.79%E -24.31%K -56.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 13:25
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +38.37%E +18.72%K +36.54%G +14.02%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -41.49%E -23.05%K -51.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 13:36
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +38.37%E +18.72%K +36.54%G +14.02%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -43.77%E -25.30%K -59.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 13:24
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +38.37%E +18.72%K +36.54%G +14.02%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -44.74%E -26.32%K -63.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +38.37%E +18.72%K +36.54%G +14.02%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -44.74%E -26.32%K -63.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 13:24
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV +37.69%E +18.48%K +36.24%G +13.66%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -39.87%E -21.55%K -46.90%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 13:35
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV +37.02%E +18.24%K +35.94%G +13.30%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -41.82%E -23.36%K -52.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 13:24
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +36.34%E +17.99%K +35.63%G +12.95%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -40.84%E -22.44%K -49.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 13:24
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +36.34%E +17.99%K +35.63%G +12.95%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -41.49%E -23.05%K -51.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 13:34
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +34.99%E +17.50%K +34.99%G +12.25%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -41.49%E -23.05%K -51.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 13:29
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +34.99%E +17.50%K +34.99%G +12.25%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -42.14%E -23.68%K -54.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 13:34
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +34.99%E +17.50%K +34.99%G +12.25%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -42.14%E -23.68%K -54.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 13:33
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +34.99%E +17.50%K +34.99%G +12.25%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -44.74%E -26.32%K -63.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 13:24
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV +7.32%E +4.60%K +12.41%G +0.908%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -25.24%E -10.97%K -19.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 13:41
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +3.94%E +2.56%K +7.30%G +0.288%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -17.12%E -6.71%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 13:43
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.13%E -1.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 13:44
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -2.80%E -1.95%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -17.12%E -6.71%K -11.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 13:42
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.48%E -2.43%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 13:44
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.15%E -2.93%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 13:44
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 13:45
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 13:45
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 13:45
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 13:44
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 13:45
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 13:44
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 13:44
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 13:45
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 13:45
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 13:44
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.50%E -3.93%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 13:45
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.18%EV -6.18%E -4.45%K -15.85%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -11.59%E -4.26%K -6.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 13:43
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.85%E -4.97%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 13:45
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.85%E -4.97%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 13:44
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.85%E -4.97%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 13:45
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.85%E -4.97%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 13:44
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.85%E -4.97%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 13:44
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.85%E -4.97%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.74%E -1.98%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 13:44
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -7.53%E -5.50%K -20.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 13:44
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.79%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV +1.09%E +0.349%K +0.515%G +0.006%5.7%2026-04-22 13:44
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 13:45
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.20%E -6.03%K -22.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 13:44
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -8.88%E -6.58%K -25.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +4.01%E +1.25%K +1.82%G +0.073%5.3%2026-04-22 13:45
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -8.88%E -6.58%K -25.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -7.37%E -2.58%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.23%E -7.69%K -31.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +5.64%E +1.73%K +2.51%G +0.141%6.0%2026-04-22 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -10.23%E -7.69%K -31.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +4.01%E +1.25%K +1.82%G +0.073%6.4%2026-04-22 13:44
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -10.23%E -7.69%K -31.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-22 13:45
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -11.58%E -8.84%K -37.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV +5.64%E +1.73%K +2.51%G +0.141%7.1%2026-04-22 13:45
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -12.25%E -9.43%K -40.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +7.26%E +2.20%K +3.16%G +0.229%7.2%2026-04-22 13:45
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -12.25%E -9.43%K -40.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +4.01%E +1.25%K +1.82%G +0.073%8.2%2026-04-22 13:44
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -12.25%E -9.43%K -40.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -2.49%E -0.830%K -1.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 13:44
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -12.93%E -10.02%K -44.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +13.76%E +3.93%K +5.50%G +0.758%6.1%2026-04-22 13:44
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -12.93%E -10.02%K -44.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +10.51%E +3.09%K +4.38%G +0.460%6.9%2026-04-22 13:45
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -13.60%E -10.63%K -48.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +13.76%E +3.93%K +5.50%G +0.758%6.7%2026-04-22 13:44
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.74%EV -13.60%E -10.63%K -48.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -4.11%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 13:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-22 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-04-22 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%1.0%2026-04-22 13:44
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%3.3%2026-04-22 13:45
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%6.0%2026-04-22 13:45
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 75.25%3.04I 32.89%NM 24.75%32.9%2026-04-22 13:44