StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Iga Swiatek v Daria Snigur

Matchstart: 2026-04-23 12:11 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Iga Swiatek (Hemma)

Prognos 95.58%1.05rättvist odds
EV -1.55%
Fördel -1.51%
Kelly -51.82%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.03

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
90.83%95.11%96.05%98.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.001.011.011.03100.00%99.04%99.01%97.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Daria Snigur (Borta)

Prognos 4.42%22.61rättvist odds
EV +147.64%
Fördel +2.64%
Kelly +2.68%
Tillväxt +3.96%

med antagandet om högsta odds 56.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
1.77%4.89%3.95%9.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
10.0020.2116.2056.0010.00%4.95%6.17%1.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Iga Swiatek (Hemma): 95.58%; Daria Snigur (Borta): 4.42%. För Daria Snigur (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 22.61. 18 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 56.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +147.64%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 98.23%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.77%EV +147.64%E +2.64%K +2.68%G +3.96%0.8%2026-04-23 12:09
Paddy Power🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +81.30%E +1.98%K +2.03%G +1.65%2.4%2026-04-23 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +81.30%E +1.98%K +2.03%G +1.65%2.4%2026-04-23 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +50.35%E +1.48%K +1.53%G +0.768%2.9%2026-04-23 12:10
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 96.98%EV -1.55%E -1.51%K -51.82%G +0.000%33.10I 3.02%NM 3.02%EV +46.37%E +1.40%K +1.44%G +0.670%0.1%2026-04-23 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.97%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.03%EV +41.51%E +1.30%K +1.34%G +0.556%3.1%2026-04-23 12:07
Winamax (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.97%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.03%EV +41.51%E +1.30%K +1.34%G +0.556%3.1%2026-04-23 12:07
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +37.08%E +1.20%K +1.24%G +0.458%3.2%2026-04-23 12:09
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +28.24%E +0.974%K +1.01%G +0.285%2.5%2026-04-23 12:09
Bovada🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +28.24%E +0.974%K +1.01%G +0.285%3.4%2026-04-23 12:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%2.9%2026-04-23 12:03
BoyleSports🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%2.9%2026-04-23 12:04
theScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%2.9%2026-04-23 12:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%3.8%2026-04-23 12:10
888sport🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%3.8%2026-04-23 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%3.8%2026-04-23 12:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%3.8%2026-04-23 12:10
Betway🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +1.71%E +0.074%K +0.078%G +0.001%4.3%2026-04-23 12:10
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.57%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.43%EV -2.71%E -0.123%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-23 11:54
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -7.14%E -0.340%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 12:04
Coolbet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -7.14%E -0.340%K -0.357%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:05
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -15.98%E -0.841%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 11:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -18.19%E -0.983%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 12:02
Unibet (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -20.40%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 12:02
Casumo🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -24.82%E -1.46%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -24.82%E -1.46%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -24.82%E -1.46%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:00
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.14%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%16.40I 6.10%NM 5.86%EV -27.48%E -1.68%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 11:50
ReBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -29.25%E -1.83%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.86%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.43I 6.48%NM 6.14%EV -31.77%E -2.06%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 11:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.86%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.43I 6.48%NM 6.14%EV -31.77%E -2.06%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 11:49
Unibet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:00
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:49
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:02
TAB🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:01
betPARX🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:00
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.60%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%14.91I 6.71%NM 6.40%EV -34.07%E -2.28%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 11:50
Bet Right🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -38.09%E -2.72%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -38.09%E -2.72%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:48
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:49
PlayUp🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:50
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:50
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:02
LiveScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:55
BetRivers🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:54
TABtouch🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:00
Bet Victor🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -44.72%E -3.58%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:49
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -44.72%E -3.58%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -51.36%E -4.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:59
Everygame🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -51.36%E -4.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -55.78%E -5.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.01I 99.01%NM 98.34%59.88I 1.67%NM 1.66%0.7%2026-04-23 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%0.8%2026-04-23 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%0.8%2026-04-23 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%0.8%2026-04-23 12:10
Matchbook1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%0.8%2026-04-23 12:10
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 96.99%32.26I 3.10%NM 3.01%3.1%2026-04-23 12:10