A Escola das Odds

Iga Swiatek v Daria Snigur

Início: 2026-04-23 12:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Iga Swiatek (Local)

Previsão 95.58%1.05odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -1.51%
Kelly -51.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
90.83%95.11%96.05%98.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.011.011.03100.00%99.04%99.01%97.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Daria Snigur (Visitante)

Previsão 4.42%22.61odd justa
EV +147.64%
Vantagem +2.64%
Kelly +2.68%
Crescimento +3.96%

pressupondo odds máximas de 56.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
1.77%4.89%3.95%9.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
10.0020.2116.2056.0010.00%4.95%6.17%1.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 98.23%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.77%EV +147.64%E +2.64%K +2.68%G +3.96%0.8%2026-04-23 12:09
Paddy Power1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +81.30%E +1.98%K +2.03%G +1.65%2.4%2026-04-23 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +81.30%E +1.98%K +2.03%G +1.65%2.4%2026-04-23 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +50.35%E +1.48%K +1.53%G +0.768%2.9%2026-04-23 12:10
Pinnacle1.03I 97.09%NM 96.98%EV -1.55%E -1.51%K -51.82%G +0.000%33.10I 3.02%NM 3.02%EV +46.37%E +1.40%K +1.44%G +0.670%0.1%2026-04-23 12:04
Winamax (DE)1.00I 100.00%NM 96.97%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.03%EV +41.51%E +1.30%K +1.34%G +0.556%3.1%2026-04-23 12:07
Winamax (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 96.97%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.03%EV +41.51%E +1.30%K +1.34%G +0.556%3.1%2026-04-23 12:07
Fanatics1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +37.08%E +1.20%K +1.24%G +0.458%3.2%2026-04-23 12:09
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +28.24%E +0.974%K +1.01%G +0.285%2.5%2026-04-23 12:09
Bovada1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +28.24%E +0.974%K +1.01%G +0.285%3.4%2026-04-23 12:09
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%2.9%2026-04-23 12:03
BoyleSports1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%2.9%2026-04-23 12:04
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%2.9%2026-04-23 12:05
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%3.8%2026-04-23 12:10
888sport1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%3.8%2026-04-23 12:10
888sport (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%3.8%2026-04-23 12:09
Mr Green (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%3.8%2026-04-23 12:10
Betway1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +1.71%E +0.074%K +0.078%G +0.001%4.3%2026-04-23 12:10
DraftKings1.02I 98.04%NM 95.57%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.43%EV -2.71%E -0.123%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-23 11:54
Coral1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -7.14%E -0.340%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 12:04
Coolbet1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -7.14%E -0.340%K -0.357%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:05
SportsBet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -15.98%E -0.841%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 11:55
Hard Rock Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -18.19%E -0.983%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 12:02
Unibet (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -20.40%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 12:02
Casumo1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -24.82%E -1.46%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:00
Unibet (NL)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -24.82%E -1.46%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:00
ATG (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -24.82%E -1.46%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:00
1xBet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.14%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%16.40I 6.10%NM 5.86%EV -27.48%E -1.68%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 11:50
ReBet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -29.25%E -1.83%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:49
BetOnline.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 93.86%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.43I 6.48%NM 6.14%EV -31.77%E -2.06%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 11:49
LowVig.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 93.86%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.43I 6.48%NM 6.14%EV -31.77%E -2.06%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 11:49
Unibet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:00
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:49
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:02
TAB1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:01
betPARX1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:00
Svenska Spel1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:00
GTbets1.02I 98.04%NM 93.60%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%14.91I 6.71%NM 6.40%EV -34.07%E -2.28%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 11:50
Bet Right1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -38.09%E -2.72%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:49
Unibet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -38.09%E -2.72%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:48
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:49
PlayUp1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:50
William Hill1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:50
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:02
LiveScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:55
BetRivers1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:55
Virgin Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:54
TABtouch1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:00
Bet Victor1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 12:10
Betr (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -44.72%E -3.58%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:49
NordicBet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -44.72%E -3.58%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:50
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -51.36%E -4.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:59
Everygame1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -51.36%E -4.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:49
Betclic (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -55.78%E -5.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.01I 99.01%NM 98.34%59.88I 1.67%NM 1.66%0.7%2026-04-23 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%0.8%2026-04-23 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%0.8%2026-04-23 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%0.8%2026-04-23 12:10
Matchbook1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%0.8%2026-04-23 12:10
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 96.99%32.26I 3.10%NM 3.01%3.1%2026-04-23 12:10