Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Iga Swiatek v Daria Snigur

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 12:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Iga Swiatek (Local)

Prévision 95.58%1.05cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -51.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
90.83%95.11%96.05%98.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.001.011.011.03100.00%99.04%99.01%97.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Daria Snigur (Visiteur)

Prévision 4.42%22.61cote équitable
EV +147.64%
Avantage +2.64%
Kelly +2.68%
Croissance +3.96%

avec la cote maximale 56.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
1.77%4.89%3.95%9.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
10.0020.2116.2056.0010.00%4.95%6.17%1.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Iga Swiatek (Local) : 95.58% ; Daria Snigur (Visiteur) : 4.42%. Pour Daria Snigur (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 22.61. 18 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 56.00, soit une espérance positive de +147.64%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 98.23%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.77%EV +147.64%E +2.64%K +2.68%G +3.96%0.8%2026-04-23 12:09
Paddy Power🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +81.30%E +1.98%K +2.03%G +1.65%2.4%2026-04-23 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +81.30%E +1.98%K +2.03%G +1.65%2.4%2026-04-23 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +50.35%E +1.48%K +1.53%G +0.768%2.9%2026-04-23 12:10
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 96.98%EV -1.55%E -1.51%K -51.82%G +0.000%33.10I 3.02%NM 3.02%EV +46.37%E +1.40%K +1.44%G +0.670%0.1%2026-04-23 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.97%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.03%EV +41.51%E +1.30%K +1.34%G +0.556%3.1%2026-04-23 12:07
Winamax (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.97%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.03%EV +41.51%E +1.30%K +1.34%G +0.556%3.1%2026-04-23 12:07
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +37.08%E +1.20%K +1.24%G +0.458%3.2%2026-04-23 12:09
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +28.24%E +0.974%K +1.01%G +0.285%2.5%2026-04-23 12:09
Bovada🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +28.24%E +0.974%K +1.01%G +0.285%3.4%2026-04-23 12:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%2.9%2026-04-23 12:03
BoyleSports🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%2.9%2026-04-23 12:04
theScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%2.9%2026-04-23 12:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%3.8%2026-04-23 12:10
888sport🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%3.8%2026-04-23 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%3.8%2026-04-23 12:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +14.97%E +0.576%K +0.599%G +0.090%3.8%2026-04-23 12:10
Betway🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +1.71%E +0.074%K +0.078%G +0.001%4.3%2026-04-23 12:10
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.57%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.43%EV -2.71%E -0.123%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-23 11:54
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV -7.14%E -0.340%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 12:04
Coolbet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -7.14%E -0.340%K -0.357%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 12:05
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -15.98%E -0.841%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 11:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -18.19%E -0.983%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 12:02
Unibet (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -20.40%E -1.13%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 12:02
Casumo🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -24.82%E -1.46%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -24.82%E -1.46%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -24.82%E -1.46%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 12:00
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.14%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%16.40I 6.10%NM 5.86%EV -27.48%E -1.68%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 11:50
ReBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -29.25%E -1.83%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 11:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.86%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.43I 6.48%NM 6.14%EV -31.77%E -2.06%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 11:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.86%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.43I 6.48%NM 6.14%EV -31.77%E -2.06%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 11:49
Unibet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:00
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:49
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:02
TAB🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:01
betPARX🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -33.67%E -2.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:00
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.60%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%14.91I 6.71%NM 6.40%EV -34.07%E -2.28%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 11:50
Bet Right🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -38.09%E -2.72%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -38.09%E -2.72%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:48
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:49
PlayUp🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:50
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 11:50
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:02
LiveScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:55
BetRivers🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 11:54
TABtouch🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:00
Bet Victor🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -4.42%E -4.42%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -42.51%E -3.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -44.72%E -3.58%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 11:49
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -44.72%E -3.58%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -2.51%E -2.46%K -125.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -51.36%E -4.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:59
Everygame🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -51.36%E -4.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 11:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -3.47%E -3.43%K -346.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -55.78%E -5.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.01I 99.01%NM 98.34%59.88I 1.67%NM 1.66%0.7%2026-04-23 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%0.8%2026-04-23 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%0.8%2026-04-23 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%0.8%2026-04-23 12:10
Matchbook1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20%55.00I 1.82%NM 1.80%0.8%2026-04-23 12:10
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 96.99%32.26I 3.10%NM 3.01%3.1%2026-04-23 12:10