Language:English
Elsa Jacquemot v Tyra Caterina Grant
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elsa Jacquemot (Local)
Prediction 43.80%2.28fair odd
EV +5.12%
Edge +2.14%
Kelly +3.66%
Growth +0.188%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.93%43.95%44.11%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.182.182.4051.28%45.89%45.87%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tyra Caterina Grant (Visit)
Prediction 56.20%1.78fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.643%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%56.05%55.89%61.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.651.651.8065.36%60.53%60.61%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elsa Jacquemot (Local): 43.80%; Tyra Caterina Grant (Visit): 56.20%. For Elsa Jacquemot (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +5.12%E +2.14%K +3.66%G +0.188% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -14.02%E -9.16%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +4.25%E +1.79%K +3.08%G +0.131% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.77%E -7.50%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +4.25%E +1.79%K +3.08%G +0.131% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.77%E -7.50%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +4.25%E +1.79%K +3.08%G +0.131% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.77%E -7.50%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +4.25%E +1.79%K +3.08%G +0.131% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.77%E -7.50%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +3.81%E +1.61%K +2.78%G +0.106% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -14.02%E -9.16%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV +2.06%E +0.883%K +1.55%G +0.032% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -11.77%E -7.50%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV +1.62%E +0.698%K +1.23%G +0.020% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -11.77%E -7.50%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV +1.62%E +0.698%K +1.23%G +0.020% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -12.33%E -7.90%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +0.744%E +0.324%K +0.573%G +0.004% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -12.89%E -8.32%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -0.132%E -0.058%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -13.45%E -8.74%K -24.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.45%E -0.643%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 18:08 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.45%E -0.643%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.77%E -7.50%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -1.88%E -0.841%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -5.03%E -2.97%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-22 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -1.88%E -0.841%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -5.03%E -2.97%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-22 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -2.32%E -1.04%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -2.32%E -1.04%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -2.32%E -1.04%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.22%E -1.27%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 17:58 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.84%E -4.78%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.96%E -5.53%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.52%E -5.91%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.65%E -0.945%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -8.40%E -5.15%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -8.40%E -5.15%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.95%E -2.28%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.46%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.46%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 17:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.70%E -3.15%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.34%E -1.94%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.22%E -1.27%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 17:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 17:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.96%E -5.53%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -12.33%E -7.90%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -12.33%E -7.90%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.46%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.46%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -10.64%E -5.22%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -1.65%E -0.945%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 18:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -5.03%E -2.97%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -13.27%E -6.70%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -0.529%E -0.299%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -14.59%E -7.48%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +1.16%E +0.643%K +1.45%G +0.017% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 0.9% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70% | 2.6% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Novig◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01% | 3.9% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |