مدرسة الاحتمالات

Elsa Jacquemot v Tyra Caterina Grant

البداية: 2026-04-22 18:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Elsa Jacquemot (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.80%2.28السعر العادل
EV +5.12%
الأفضلية +2.14%
Kelly +3.66%
النمو +0.188%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.93%43.95%44.11%48.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.182.182.4051.28%45.89%45.87%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tyra Caterina Grant (الضيف)

التنبؤ 56.20%1.78السعر العادل
EV +1.16%
الأفضلية +0.643%
Kelly +1.45%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.00%56.05%55.89%61.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.651.651.8065.36%60.53%60.61%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +5.12%E +2.14%K +3.66%G +0.188%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -14.02%E -9.16%K -26.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 18:09
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +4.25%E +1.79%K +3.08%G +0.131%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.77%E -7.50%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 18:10
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +4.25%E +1.79%K +3.08%G +0.131%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.77%E -7.50%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +4.25%E +1.79%K +3.08%G +0.131%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.77%E -7.50%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 18:10
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +4.25%E +1.79%K +3.08%G +0.131%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -11.77%E -7.50%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 18:10
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +3.81%E +1.61%K +2.78%G +0.106%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -14.02%E -9.16%K -26.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 18:10
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV +2.06%E +0.883%K +1.55%G +0.032%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -11.77%E -7.50%K -20.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 18:10
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV +1.62%E +0.698%K +1.23%G +0.020%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -11.77%E -7.50%K -20.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 18:10
Bally Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV +1.62%E +0.698%K +1.23%G +0.020%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -12.33%E -7.90%K -22.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:10
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +0.744%E +0.324%K +0.573%G +0.004%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -12.89%E -8.32%K -23.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -0.132%E -0.058%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -13.45%E -8.74%K -24.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 18:10
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.45%E -0.643%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 18:08
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.45%E -0.643%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.77%E -7.50%K -20.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 18:10
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -1.88%E -0.841%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -5.03%E -2.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -1.88%E -0.841%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -5.03%E -2.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 18:00
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -2.32%E -1.04%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:09
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -2.32%E -1.04%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:09
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -2.32%E -1.04%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:09
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.22%E -1.27%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 17:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:00
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 18:00
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 17:58
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.84%E -4.78%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:09
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.96%E -5.53%K -14.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:05
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.52%E -5.91%K -15.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 18:10
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.65%E -0.945%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 17:50
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -8.40%E -5.15%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:09
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -4.51%E -2.07%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -8.40%E -5.15%K -13.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:09
Unibet (UK)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.95%E -2.28%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.46%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 18:09
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 18:09
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 17:49
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.46%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 17:50
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 17:59
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:10
SportsBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -6.70%E -3.15%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.34%E -1.94%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 17:50
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.22%E -1.27%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 18:09
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 17:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.78%E -1.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 18:09
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 17:49
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 17:48
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:10
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 17:58
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.96%E -5.53%K -14.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -12.33%E -7.90%K -22.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 18:10
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -12.33%E -7.90%K -22.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 18:09
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 18:09
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.46%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 18:09
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.46%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 18:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -10.64%E -5.22%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -1.65%E -0.945%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:08
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -5.03%E -2.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 18:09
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -12.40%E -6.20%K -12.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -13.27%E -6.70%K -13.54%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -0.529%E -0.299%K -0.687%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 18:09
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -14.59%E -7.48%K -15.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +1.16%E +0.643%K +1.45%G +0.017%6.8%2026-04-22 18:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-04-22 18:10
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-04-22 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-04-22 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-04-22 18:10
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.6%2026-04-22 18:09
Novig2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%3.9%2026-04-22 18:10