Language:English
Elise Mertens v Alexandra Eala
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elise Mertens (Local)
Prediction 69.57%1.44fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -6.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.08%69.48%69.51%70.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.44%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexandra Eala (Visit)
Prediction 30.43%3.29fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.340%
Kelly -0.491%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.61%30.52%30.49%31.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.39%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elise Mertens (Local): 69.57%; Alexandra Eala (Visit): 30.43%. For Alexandra Eala (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.60%E -1.86%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 03:37 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.65%EV -3.30%E -2.37%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -2.93%E -0.919%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.30%E -2.37%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -4.15%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.30%E -2.37%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -8.10%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 11:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.11%E -0.340%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 01:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.13%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -1.41%E -0.435%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -2.02%E -0.627%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-24 00:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -2.02%E -0.627%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-24 00:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.15%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-24 00:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 23:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 15:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.15%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.15%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 15:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 15:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 01:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 19:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 19:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 10:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 16:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 00:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 11:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.76%E -4.05%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 00:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -2.32%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.63%E -0.821%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.87%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 23:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 23:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 01:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.47%E -5.62%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.47%E -5.62%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.17%E -6.19%K -25.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-04-24 02:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-04-24 00:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79% | 2.5% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96% | 2.7% | 2026-04-24 01:10 |