La escuela de los momios

Elise Mertens v Alexandra Eala

Inicio: 2026-04-24 10:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elise Mertens (Local)

Predicción 69.57%1.44momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -6.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.08%69.48%69.51%70.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.44%73.53%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alexandra Eala (Visitante)

Predicción 30.43%3.29momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.340%
Kelly -0.491%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.61%30.52%30.49%31.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.39%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.60%E -1.86%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-24 03:37
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.65%EV -3.30%E -2.37%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -2.93%E -0.919%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 01:15
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.30%E -2.37%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -4.15%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 23:45
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.30%E -2.37%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -8.10%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 11:19
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.11%E -0.340%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 01:09
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.13%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -1.41%E -0.435%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 00:55
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 21:50
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 20:34
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -2.02%E -0.627%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 00:49
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -2.02%E -0.627%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 00:49
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.15%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 00:49
Unibet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 14:55
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:44
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 15:54
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:45
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:45
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 03:30
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.15%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:15
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.15%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 23:45
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:54
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:54
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:54
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:54
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:54
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:54
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:55
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:54
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:54
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:54
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 14:55
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 01:10
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 15:49
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 15:54
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 01:09
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:19
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 19:50
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 19:50
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 01:10
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 23:50
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 10:35
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 00:14
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:55
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 00:44
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:30
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.76%E -4.05%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 00:44
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -2.32%E -0.724%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:50
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.63%E -0.821%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:35
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.87%EV -3.54%E -1.12%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 23:49
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 14:54
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 14:55
ReBet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 23:49
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 01:09
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 01:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 01:10
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.47%E -5.62%K -22.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 23:50
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.47%E -5.62%K -22.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.71%E -2.90%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 11:15
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.17%E -6.19%K -25.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 23:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-04-24 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-04-24 02:35
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-04-24 00:45
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79%2.5%2026-04-24 03:20
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-04-24 01:10