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Dalma Galfi v Ajla Tomljanovic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dalma Galfi (Local)
Prediction 31.82%3.14fair odd
EV +19.32%
Edge +5.15%
Kelly +7.03%
Growth +1.36%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%32.98%31.19%48.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.762.903.7552.63%36.18%34.48%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ajla Tomljanovic (Visit)
Prediction 68.18%1.47fair odd
EV +28.86%
Edge +15.27%
Kelly +32.43%
Growth +9.36%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.35%67.02%68.81%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.471.361.8980.00%68.02%73.53%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalma Galfi (Local): 31.82%; Ajla Tomljanovic (Visit): 68.18%. For Ajla Tomljanovic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.47. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +28.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -36.36%E -18.18%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV +28.86%E +15.27%K +32.43%G +9.36% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -35.72%E -17.69%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +24.09%E +13.24%K +29.38%G +7.08% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 11:21 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -36.36%E -18.18%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV +24.09%E +13.24%K +29.38%G +7.08% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -35.72%E -17.69%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +22.72%E +12.62%K +28.41%G +6.46% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 11:18 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -36.36%E -18.18%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +22.72%E +12.62%K +28.41%G +6.46% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 11:16 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -39.54%E -20.81%K -43.94%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV +22.72%E +12.62%K +28.41%G +6.46% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -36.68%E -18.43%K -37.05%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV +22.04%E +12.31%K +27.90%G +6.15% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 11:17 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -33.50%E -16.03%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV +21.36%E +12.00%K +27.39%G +5.85% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 11:22 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -33.50%E -16.03%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV +21.36%E +12.00%K +27.39%G +5.85% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 11:21 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -37.63%E -19.20%K -39.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV +21.36%E +12.00%K +27.39%G +5.85% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 11:18 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -37.00%E -18.69%K -37.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV +20.68%E +11.68%K +26.86%G +5.55% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 11:17 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -37.00%E -18.69%K -37.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV +20.68%E +11.68%K +26.86%G +5.55% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 11:16 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -34.77%E -16.96%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +19.32%E +11.04%K +25.75%G +4.97% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 11:21 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -32.54%E -15.35%K -29.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +18.63%E +10.71%K +25.18%G +4.69% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -30.00%E -13.63%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +15.22%E +9.01%K +22.07%G +3.36% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV +0.907%E +0.613%K +1.89%G +0.017% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.82%E -1.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.91%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.18%E -2.24%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.91%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -15.68%E -5.92%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -3.59%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -5.23%E -3.76%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.95%E -0.967%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.91%E -4.28%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.95%E -0.967%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.91%E -4.28%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.91%E -4.28%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.59%E -4.81%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.50%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -6.59%E -4.81%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -2.95%E -0.967%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.91%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV +1.50%E +0.472%K +0.687%G +0.010% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -7.96%E -5.89%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -2.95%E -0.967%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.96%E -5.89%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -2.95%E -0.967%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.96%E -5.89%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -2.95%E -0.967%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.96%E -5.89%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -2.95%E -0.967%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.96%E -5.89%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.96%E -5.89%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.96%E -5.89%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.64%E -6.45%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -8.64%E -6.45%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.32%E -7.01%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -9.32%E -7.01%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +11.37%E +3.25%K +4.55%G +0.517% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -11.37%E -8.74%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +8.19%E +2.41%K +3.41%G +0.279% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -11.37%E -8.74%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +8.19%E +2.41%K +3.41%G +0.279% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -11.37%E -8.74%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -11.37%E -8.74%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +19.32%E +5.15%K +7.03%G +1.36% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -14.77%E -11.82%K -59.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +19.32%E +5.15%K +7.03%G +1.36% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -14.77%E -11.82%K -59.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.18% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.82% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |