La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Dalma Galfi v Ajla Tomljanovic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dalma Galfi (Local)
Predicción 31.82%3.14momio equitativo
EV +19.32%
Ventaja +5.15%
Kelly +7.03%
Crecimiento +1.36%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.00%32.98%31.19%48.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.762.903.7552.63%36.18%34.48%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ajla Tomljanovic (Visitante)
Predicción 68.18%1.47momio equitativo
EV +28.86%
Ventaja +15.27%
Kelly +32.43%
Crecimiento +9.36%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.35%67.02%68.81%75.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.471.361.8980.00%68.02%73.53%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -36.36%E -18.18%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV +28.86%E +15.27%K +32.43%G +9.36% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 11:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -35.72%E -17.69%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +24.09%E +13.24%K +29.38%G +7.08% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 11:21 |
| ReBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -36.36%E -18.18%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV +24.09%E +13.24%K +29.38%G +7.08% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -35.72%E -17.69%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +22.72%E +12.62%K +28.41%G +6.46% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 11:18 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -36.36%E -18.18%K -36.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +22.72%E +12.62%K +28.41%G +6.46% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 11:16 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -39.54%E -20.81%K -43.94%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV +22.72%E +12.62%K +28.41%G +6.46% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -36.68%E -18.43%K -37.05%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV +22.04%E +12.31%K +27.90%G +6.15% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 11:17 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -33.50%E -16.03%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV +21.36%E +12.00%K +27.39%G +5.85% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 11:22 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -33.50%E -16.03%K -30.73%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV +21.36%E +12.00%K +27.39%G +5.85% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 11:21 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -37.63%E -19.20%K -39.20%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV +21.36%E +12.00%K +27.39%G +5.85% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 11:18 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -37.00%E -18.69%K -37.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV +20.68%E +11.68%K +26.86%G +5.55% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 11:17 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -37.00%E -18.69%K -37.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV +20.68%E +11.68%K +26.86%G +5.55% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 11:16 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -34.77%E -16.96%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +19.32%E +11.04%K +25.75%G +4.97% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 11:21 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -32.54%E -15.35%K -29.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +18.63%E +10.71%K +25.18%G +4.69% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -30.00%E -13.63%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +15.22%E +9.01%K +22.07%G +3.36% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV +0.907%E +0.613%K +1.89%G +0.017% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.82%E -1.26%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.91%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.18%E -2.24%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.91%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -15.68%E -5.92%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -4.55%E -3.25%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Coolbet | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -3.59%E -1.18%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -5.23%E -3.76%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Casumo | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.95%E -0.967%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.91%E -4.28%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| betPARX | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.95%E -0.967%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.91%E -4.28%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.91%E -4.28%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.59%E -4.81%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.50%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -6.59%E -4.81%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.36%E -0.439%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -2.95%E -0.967%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.13%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.36%E -2.90%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Fliff | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.31%E -3.27%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.91%E -3.89%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.27%E -5.35%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV +1.50%E +0.472%K +0.687%G +0.010% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -7.96%E -5.89%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Betsson | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -2.95%E -0.967%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.96%E -5.89%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -2.95%E -0.967%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.96%E -5.89%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -2.95%E -0.967%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.96%E -5.89%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Bally Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -2.95%E -0.967%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.96%E -5.89%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.96%E -5.89%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.96%E -5.89%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.64%E -6.45%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -8.64%E -6.45%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -4.54%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.32%E -7.01%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -9.32%E -7.01%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +11.37%E +3.25%K +4.55%G +0.517% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -11.37%E -8.74%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +8.19%E +2.41%K +3.41%G +0.279% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -11.37%E -8.74%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +8.19%E +2.41%K +3.41%G +0.279% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -11.37%E -8.74%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -7.72%E -2.66%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -11.37%E -8.74%K -37.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +19.32%E +5.15%K +7.03%G +1.36% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -14.77%E -11.82%K -59.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +19.32%E +5.15%K +7.03%G +1.36% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -14.77%E -11.82%K -59.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Novig | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.18% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.82% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 11:30 |