Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Beatriz Haddad Maia v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 10:50 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Beatriz Haddad Maia (Local)

Prediction 34.15%2.93fair odd
EV +0.409%
Edge +0.139%
Kelly +0.211%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.41%34.19%34.20%36.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.772.752.9439.22%36.09%36.36%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visit)

Prediction 65.85%1.52fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.819%
Kelly -2.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.59%65.81%65.80%67.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.431.5071.43%69.59%69.93%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Beatriz Haddad Maia (Local): 34.15%; Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visit): 65.85%. For Beatriz Haddad Maia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.94, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.409%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV +0.409%E +0.139%K +0.211%G +0.001%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -7.16%E -5.07%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 10:45
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.957%E -0.330%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.86%E -2.65%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 10:45
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.957%E -0.330%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 10:45
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.957%E -0.330%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.50%E -4.58%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 10:45
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.64%E -0.569%K -0.872%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 10:45
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.66%E -0.935%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 10:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 10:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 10:45
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 10:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 10:45
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.50%E -4.58%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 10:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 10:39
GTbets🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV -4.71%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -1.23%E -0.819%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-21 10:45
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 10:35
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 10:45
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 10:39
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 10:40
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 10:39
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.50%E -4.58%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.50%E -4.58%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 10:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -6.42%E -2.34%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 10:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.79%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 10:45
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.79%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 10:45
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.79%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 10:45
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.79%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.50%E -4.58%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 10:45
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.79%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.50%E -4.58%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.79%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.50%E -4.58%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 10:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.79%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.16%E -5.07%K -17.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 10:45
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -10.52%E -4.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.23%E -0.819%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.20%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -12.91%E -5.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 10:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-04-21 10:45
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-04-21 10:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-04-21 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-04-21 10:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-04-21 10:45
Novig2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%3.5%2026-04-21 10:45