La escuela de los momios

Beatriz Haddad Maia v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Inicio: 2026-04-21 10:50 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Beatriz Haddad Maia (Local)

Predicción 34.15%2.93momio equitativo
EV +0.409%
Ventaja +0.139%
Kelly +0.211%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.41%34.19%34.20%36.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.772.752.9439.22%36.09%36.36%34.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante)

Predicción 65.85%1.52momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.819%
Kelly -2.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.59%65.81%65.80%67.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.441.431.5071.43%69.59%69.93%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV +0.409%E +0.139%K +0.211%G +0.001%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -7.16%E -5.07%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 10:45
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -0.957%E -0.330%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.86%E -2.65%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 10:45
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.957%E -0.330%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 10:45
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.957%E -0.330%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.50%E -4.58%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 10:45
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.64%E -0.569%K -0.872%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 10:45
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.66%E -0.935%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 10:45
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 10:45
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.01%E -1.06%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 10:45
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 10:45
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 10:45
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.84%E -4.08%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 10:45
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.50%E -4.58%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 10:45
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.37%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 10:39
GTbets2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV -4.71%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -1.23%E -0.819%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-21 10:45
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 10:35
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 10:45
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 10:39
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 10:40
ReBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 10:39
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.18%E -3.60%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 10:45
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.50%E -4.58%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.50%E -4.58%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.08%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.81%E -5.58%K -19.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 10:45
PointsBet (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -6.42%E -2.34%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 10:45
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.79%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.20%E -2.18%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 10:45
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.79%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 10:45
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.79%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 10:45
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.79%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.50%E -4.58%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 10:45
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.79%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.50%E -4.58%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.79%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.50%E -4.58%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 10:45
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.79%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.16%E -5.07%K -17.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 10:45
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -10.52%E -4.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.23%E -0.819%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 10:45
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -11.20%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 10:45
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -12.91%E -5.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.52%E -3.12%K -10.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 10:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-04-21 10:45
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-04-21 10:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-04-21 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-04-21 10:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-04-21 10:45
Novig2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%3.5%2026-04-21 10:45