Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.26
assuming max odds 4.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anna Bondár (Local): 79.09%; Viktorija Golubic (Visit): 20.91%. For Viktorija Golubic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.78. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.51%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.36%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.64%EV +3.51%E +0.708%K +0.888%G +0.031% | 2.8% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -6.67%E -5.66%K -37.08%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV +3.51%E +0.708%K +0.888%G +0.031% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +0.369%E +0.077%K +0.097%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-21 12:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.67%E -5.66%K -37.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.369%E +0.077%K +0.097%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 12:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -0.676%E -0.142%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -1.72%E -0.366%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.46%E -6.38%K -43.91%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -1.72%E -0.366%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.05%E -7.87%K -60.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -1.72%E -0.366%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.81%E -0.829%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 12:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.81%E -0.829%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 12:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.67%E -5.66%K -37.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.81%E -0.829%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -5.69%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -5.69%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.78%EV -0.347%E -0.275%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 22.22%EV -7.79%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.46%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.46%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -10.09%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-21 12:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -10.09%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -10.09%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.67%E -5.66%K -37.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -10.09%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 12:18 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 12:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 12:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 12:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 12:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -1.93%E -1.56%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -13.85%E -3.36%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.44%EV -6.67%E -5.66%K -37.08%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.56%EV -15.31%E -3.78%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 12:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -1.14%E -0.910%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -16.15%E -4.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-04-21 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-04-21 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-04-21 12:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 12:25 |