La escuela de los momios

Anna Bondár v Viktorija Golubic

Inicio: 2026-04-21 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Anna Bondár (Local)

Predicción 79.09%1.26momio equitativo
EV -0.347%
Ventaja -0.275%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.24%79.00%78.95%80.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.201.211.2686.96%83.01%82.64%79.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Viktorija Golubic (Visitante)

Predicción 20.91%4.78momio equitativo
EV +3.51%
Ventaja +0.708%
Kelly +0.888%
Crecimiento +0.031%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.25%21.00%21.05%23.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.014.424.404.9524.94%22.63%22.73%20.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 80.36%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.64%EV +3.51%E +0.708%K +0.888%G +0.031%2.8%2026-04-21 12:20
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -6.67%E -5.66%K -37.08%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV +3.51%E +0.708%K +0.888%G +0.031%4.9%2026-04-21 12:20
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +0.369%E +0.077%K +0.097%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 12:19
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.67%E -5.66%K -37.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.369%E +0.077%K +0.097%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 12:19
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -0.676%E -0.142%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 12:20
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -1.72%E -0.366%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.46%E -6.38%K -43.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -1.72%E -0.366%K -0.465%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 12:20
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.05%E -7.87%K -60.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -1.72%E -0.366%K -0.465%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 12:20
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.81%E -0.829%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 12:19
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.81%E -0.829%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 12:19
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.67%E -5.66%K -37.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.81%E -0.829%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 12:20
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -5.69%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 12:20
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -5.69%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 12:20
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 12:20
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 12:20
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.90%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 12:20
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.78%EV -0.347%E -0.275%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 22.22%EV -7.79%E -1.77%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:19
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:20
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 12:20
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.99%E -1.82%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.46%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.46%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 12:20
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -10.09%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 12:25
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -10.09%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 12:20
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -10.09%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 12:20
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -6.67%E -5.66%K -37.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -10.09%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 12:20
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:20
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.30%E -3.55%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 12:18
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 12:20
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -5.88%E -4.94%K -30.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -11.13%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 12:20
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 12:14
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 12:19
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 12:14
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.51%E -2.88%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 12:14
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.09%E -4.24%K -25.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.18%E -2.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 12:20
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -1.93%E -1.56%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -13.85%E -3.36%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 12:20
Unibet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.44%EV -6.67%E -5.66%K -37.08%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.56%EV -15.31%E -3.78%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 12:19
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -1.14%E -0.910%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -16.15%E -4.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 12:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-04-21 12:25
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-04-21 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-04-21 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-04-21 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-04-21 12:20
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 79.73%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.27%4.5%2026-04-21 12:25