Language:English
Zeynep Sonmez v Jennifer Ruggeri
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zeynep Sonmez (Local)
Prediction 85.35%1.17fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -19.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.08%85.22%85.41%86.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.111.111.1493.46%89.87%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jennifer Ruggeri (Visit)
Prediction 14.65%6.82fair odd
EV +6.23%
Edge +0.860%
Kelly +0.997%
Growth +0.062%
assuming max odds 7.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.38%14.78%14.59%16.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.376.257.2518.18%15.70%16.00%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zeynep Sonmez (Local): 85.35%; Jennifer Ruggeri (Visit): 14.65%. For Jennifer Ruggeri (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.82. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +6.23%E +0.860%K +0.997%G +0.062% | 3.1% | 2026-05-05 14:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.60%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 7.24I 13.81%NM 13.40%EV +6.09%E +0.841%K +0.975%G +0.059% | 3.1% | 2026-05-05 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +2.57%E +0.367%K +0.428%G +0.011% | 3.6% | 2026-05-05 08:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.57%E +0.367%K +0.428%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.57%E +0.367%K +0.428%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -0.360%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 14:31 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.09%E -0.162%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.68%E -8.11%K -123.98%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -1.83%E -0.273%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.29%E -0.499%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.29%E -0.499%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.29%E -0.499%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 13:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.29%E -0.499%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -3.44%E -0.522%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -3.44%E -0.522%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -4.17%E -0.638%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 14:41 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 08:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 02:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 11:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.83%E -7.25%K -97.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 05:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:18 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 10:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 02:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -9.15%E -1.48%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -9.15%E -1.48%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.08%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.08%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.08%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.08%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.08%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.08%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 02:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.08%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 06:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -15.01%E -2.59%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -15.01%E -2.59%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 02:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -2.70%E -2.37%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -17.21%E -3.05%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 12:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.41%E -3.53%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 02:18 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-05 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-05 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-05 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-05 14:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.67% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 13.33% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92% | 2.3% | 2026-05-05 14:35 |