La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zeynep Sonmez v Jennifer Ruggeri
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zeynep Sonmez (Local)
Predicción 85.35%1.17momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -2.37%
Kelly -19.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.08%85.22%85.41%86.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.071.111.111.1493.46%89.87%90.09%87.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jennifer Ruggeri (Visitante)
Predicción 14.65%6.82momio equitativo
EV +6.23%
Ventaja +0.860%
Kelly +0.997%
Crecimiento +0.062%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.38%14.78%14.59%16.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.376.257.2518.18%15.70%16.00%13.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +6.23%E +0.860%K +0.997%G +0.062% | 3.1% | 2026-05-05 14:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.60%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 7.24I 13.81%NM 13.40%EV +6.09%E +0.841%K +0.975%G +0.059% | 3.1% | 2026-05-05 14:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +2.57%E +0.367%K +0.428%G +0.011% | 3.6% | 2026-05-05 08:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.57%E +0.367%K +0.428%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.57%E +0.367%K +0.428%G +0.011% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -0.360%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-05 14:31 |
| Bet Right | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.09%E -0.162%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.68%E -8.11%K -123.98%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -1.83%E -0.273%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-05 14:00 |
| Betsson | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.29%E -0.499%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.29%E -0.499%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.29%E -0.499%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 13:59 |
| ReBet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.29%E -0.499%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -3.44%E -0.522%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -3.44%E -0.522%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -4.17%E -0.638%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| 888sport | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 14:41 |
| BetUS | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 13:59 |
| William Hill | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 08:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-05 02:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 11:20 |
| Everygame | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.83%E -7.25%K -97.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -4.76%E -0.732%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 05:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| betPARX | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| Unibet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| Casumo | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:18 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 02:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 10:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.42%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-05 02:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -9.15%E -1.48%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| Neds | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -9.15%E -1.48%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.08%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.08%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 11:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.08%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.08%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| Coral | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.08%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 02:15 |
| TAB | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.08%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 02:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.08%E -2.01%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-05 06:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -15.01%E -2.59%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 02:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.26%E -4.74%K -47.86%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -15.01%E -2.59%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-05 02:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -2.70%E -2.37%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -17.21%E -3.05%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 12:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.41%E -3.53%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-05 02:18 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-05 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-05 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-05 14:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-05 14:34 |
| Novig | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.67% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 13.33% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92% | 2.3% | 2026-05-05 14:35 |