Language:English
Yuliia Starodubtseva v Simona Waltert
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local)
Prediction 10.33%9.68fair odd
EV +13.60%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.185%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.64%10.54%10.49%13.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.509.7310.0011.0015.38%10.28%10.00%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Simona Waltert (Visit)
Prediction 89.67%1.12fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -3.79%
Kelly -57.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.09%89.46%89.51%91.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.051.041.0797.09%95.49%96.15%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local): 10.33%; Simona Waltert (Visit): 89.67%. For Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.68. 22 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.58%EV +4.30%E +0.426%K +0.473%G +0.020% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.42%EV -4.05%E -3.79%K -57.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.84%E -5.57%K -116.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.84%E -5.57%K -116.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.64%E -7.41%K -254.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.64%E -7.41%K -254.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.84%E -5.57%K -116.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.84%E -5.57%K -116.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 21:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.84%E -5.57%K -116.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.06%E -0.784%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.06%E -0.784%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.84%E -5.57%K -116.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 21:26 |
| TAB🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.06%E -0.784%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -9.64%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -5.84%E -5.57%K -116.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.05%E -3.79%K -57.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 22:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 22:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -32.87%E -5.06%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.09%EV -5.84%E -5.57%K -116.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-06 21:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-05-06 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-05-06 22:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25% | 2.6% | 2026-05-06 22:30 |
| Novig◎ | 6.54I 15.29%NM 13.49% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 86.51% | 13.3% | 2026-05-06 21:40 |