La scuola delle quote

Yuliia Starodubtseva v Simona Waltert

Inizio: 2026-05-07 10:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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39 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Casa)

Previsione 10.33%9.68quota equa
EV +13.60%
Vantaggio +1.24%
Kelly +1.36%
Crescita +0.185%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.64%10.54%10.49%13.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.509.7310.0011.0015.38%10.28%10.00%9.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Simona Waltert (Trasferta)

Previsione 89.67%1.12quota equa
EV -4.05%
Vantaggio -3.79%
Kelly -57.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
86.09%89.46%89.51%91.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.031.051.041.0797.09%95.49%96.15%93.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (39 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Unibet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:30
LeoVegas11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:30
BetRivers11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:30
Casumo11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:30
Unibet (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:30
Unibet (NL)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:30
TABtouch11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:30
Grosvenor11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:30
Bally Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:30
ATG (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:30
betPARX11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:30
Svenska Spel11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:30
Hard Rock Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.60%E +1.24%K +1.36%G +0.185%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:30
DraftKings10.10I 9.90%NM 9.58%EV +4.30%E +0.426%K +0.473%G +0.020%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.42%EV -4.05%E -3.79%K -57.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-06 22:30
FanDuel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 21:30
Betway10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.84%E -5.57%K -116.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:30
Unibet (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.84%E -5.57%K -116.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 21:30
PMU (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 21:30
Virgin Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.64%E -7.41%K -254.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 21:30
LiveScore Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.27%E +0.327%K +0.364%G +0.012%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.64%E -7.41%K -254.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 21:30
NordicBet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.84%E -5.57%K -116.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 21:30
Betsson9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.84%E -5.57%K -116.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 21:29
Coral9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.84%E -5.57%K -116.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 21:30
Paddy Power9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -1.89%E -0.199%K -0.223%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 21:30
theScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.06%E -0.784%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 21:30
Betclic (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.06%E -0.784%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.84%E -5.57%K -116.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 21:26
TAB9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.06%E -0.784%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 21:30
BetMGM8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -9.64%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -5.84%E -5.57%K -116.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 21:30
Fanatics8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 21:30
Tipico (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.22%E -1.44%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.74%E -6.48%K -168.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 21:30
Winamax (DE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.05%E -3.79%K -57.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 22:30
PointsBet (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 22:25
Betr (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 21:30
888sport8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 22:15
888sport (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 22:15
Mr Green (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.38%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 22:15
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -32.87%E -5.06%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 86.09%EV -5.84%E -5.57%K -116.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-06 21:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-05-06 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-05-06 22:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-05-06 22:30
Matchbook10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25%2.6%2026-05-06 22:30
Novig6.54I 15.29%NM 13.49%1.02I 98.04%NM 86.51%13.3%2026-05-06 21:40