Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tyra Caterina Grant v Nikola Bartunkova

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 16:31 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tyra Caterina Grant (Local)

Prediction 45.83%2.18fair odd
EV +23.27%
Edge +8.65%
Kelly +13.77%
Growth +3.21%

assuming max odds 2.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.95%45.01%46.05%49.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.862.152.102.6953.76%46.54%47.62%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nikola Bartunkova (Visit)

Prediction 54.17%1.85fair odd
EV +0.220%
Edge +0.119%
Kelly +0.259%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.54%54.99%53.95%64.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.681.701.8566.23%59.46%58.82%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tyra Caterina Grant (Local): 45.83%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visit): 54.17%. For Tyra Caterina Grant (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +23.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV +23.27%E +8.65%K +13.77%G +3.21%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%EV -18.20%E -12.05%K -35.68%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 16:30
SportsBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV +11.36%E +4.67%K +7.94%G +0.902%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -14.41%E -9.12%K -24.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +9.98%E +4.16%K +7.13%G +0.712%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -12.24%E -7.56%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 16:21
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +9.98%E +4.16%K +7.13%G +0.712%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -12.24%E -7.56%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 16:24
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +9.98%E +4.16%K +7.13%G +0.712%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -14.41%E -9.12%K -24.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 16:20
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +9.98%E +4.16%K +7.13%G +0.712%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -17.12%E -11.19%K -32.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 16:07
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +9.07%E +3.81%K +6.57%G +0.596%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -14.95%E -9.52%K -26.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 16:19
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV +8.15%E +3.45%K +5.99%G +0.489%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -11.70%E -7.18%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 16:15
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +7.69%E +3.27%K +5.70%G +0.438%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -14.41%E -9.12%K -24.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +7.69%E +3.27%K +5.70%G +0.438%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -14.41%E -9.12%K -24.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 16:18
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +7.69%E +3.27%K +5.70%G +0.438%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -16.03%E -10.34%K -29.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 16:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +7.69%E +3.27%K +5.70%G +0.438%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -16.03%E -10.34%K -29.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 16:16
Bet Right🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV +7.23%E +3.09%K +5.40%G +0.391%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -13.32%E -8.33%K -22.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 16:18
ReBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV +6.78%E +2.91%K +5.10%G +0.345%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -12.78%E -7.94%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 16:09
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +5.40%E +2.35%K +4.16%G +0.224%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -12.24%E -7.56%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 16:29
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +3.11%E +1.38%K +2.49%G +0.077%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -10.61%E -6.43%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 16:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +3.11%E +1.38%K +2.49%G +0.077%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -10.61%E -6.43%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 16:29
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +3.11%E +1.38%K +2.49%G +0.077%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -14.41%E -9.12%K -24.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 16:18
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +3.11%E +1.38%K +2.49%G +0.077%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -14.41%E -9.12%K -24.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 16:18
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +0.819%E +0.372%K +0.683%G +0.006%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -12.78%E -7.94%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:28
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +0.819%E +0.372%K +0.683%G +0.006%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -12.78%E -7.94%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:28
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -0.556%E -0.256%K -0.475%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.71%EV -13.86%E -8.72%K -23.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 16:20
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.47%E -0.685%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.53%E -5.71%K -14.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 16:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.85%E -1.34%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.82%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 16:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.85%E -1.34%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.82%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 16:30
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.85%E -1.34%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.82%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.85%E -1.34%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.82%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 16:30
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.85%E -1.34%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.82%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 16:29
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.28%E -3.63%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 16:29
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.36%E -4.31%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.36%E -4.31%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 16:30
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.53%E -5.71%K -14.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 16:29
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -12.78%E -7.94%K -20.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 16:29
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 16:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 16:30
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 16:30
LeoVegas🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -5.60%E -2.72%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -8.99%E -5.35%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 16:30
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 16:29
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 16:30
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.28%E -3.63%K -8.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 16:29
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.53%E -5.71%K -14.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 16:29
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.35%E -4.17%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.35%E -4.17%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.28%E -3.63%K -8.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 16:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -8.35%E -4.17%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -11.70%E -7.18%K -18.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -8.80%E -4.42%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -3.03%E -1.69%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -10.18%E -5.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV +0.220%E +0.119%K +0.259%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-08 16:30
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -10.18%E -5.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV +0.220%E +0.119%K +0.259%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-08 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.64%E -5.46%K -11.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.49%E -1.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:29
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.64%E -5.46%K -11.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.49%E -1.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -11.10%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -1.95%E -1.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.47%E -6.53%K -13.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.863%E -0.472%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.93%E -6.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV +0.220%E +0.119%K +0.259%G +0.001%6.7%2026-05-08 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.93%E -6.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.49%E -1.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 16:30
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -14.30%E -7.65%K -16.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -0.863%E -0.472%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 16:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -14.76%E -7.94%K -17.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 16:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-05-08 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-05-08 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%4.6%2026-05-08 16:30
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%7.8%2026-05-08 16:30
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%8.8%2026-05-08 16:30
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%9.0%2026-05-08 16:29