L’École des cotes

Tyra Caterina Grant v Nikola Bartunkova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 16:31 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tyra Caterina Grant (Local)

Prévision 45.83%2.18cote équitable
EV +23.27%
Avantage +8.65%
Kelly +13.77%
Croissance +3.21%

avec la cote maximale 2.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.95%45.01%46.05%49.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.862.152.102.6953.76%46.54%47.62%37.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nikola Bartunkova (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.17%1.85cote équitable
EV +0.220%
Avantage +0.119%
Kelly +0.259%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.54%54.99%53.95%64.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.681.701.8566.23%59.46%58.82%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV +23.27%E +8.65%K +13.77%G +3.21%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%EV -18.20%E -12.05%K -35.68%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 16:30
SportsBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV +11.36%E +4.67%K +7.94%G +0.902%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -14.41%E -9.12%K -24.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 16:19
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +9.98%E +4.16%K +7.13%G +0.712%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -12.24%E -7.56%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 16:21
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +9.98%E +4.16%K +7.13%G +0.712%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -12.24%E -7.56%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 16:24
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +9.98%E +4.16%K +7.13%G +0.712%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -14.41%E -9.12%K -24.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 16:20
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV +9.98%E +4.16%K +7.13%G +0.712%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -17.12%E -11.19%K -32.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 16:07
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +9.07%E +3.81%K +6.57%G +0.596%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -14.95%E -9.52%K -26.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 16:19
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV +8.15%E +3.45%K +5.99%G +0.489%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%EV -11.70%E -7.18%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 16:15
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +7.69%E +3.27%K +5.70%G +0.438%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -14.41%E -9.12%K -24.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 16:20
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +7.69%E +3.27%K +5.70%G +0.438%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -14.41%E -9.12%K -24.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 16:18
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +7.69%E +3.27%K +5.70%G +0.438%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -16.03%E -10.34%K -29.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 16:29
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV +7.69%E +3.27%K +5.70%G +0.438%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -16.03%E -10.34%K -29.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 16:16
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV +7.23%E +3.09%K +5.40%G +0.391%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -13.32%E -8.33%K -22.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 16:18
ReBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV +6.78%E +2.91%K +5.10%G +0.345%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -12.78%E -7.94%K -20.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 16:09
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +5.40%E +2.35%K +4.16%G +0.224%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -12.24%E -7.56%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 16:29
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +3.11%E +1.38%K +2.49%G +0.077%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -10.61%E -6.43%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 16:29
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +3.11%E +1.38%K +2.49%G +0.077%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -10.61%E -6.43%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 16:29
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +3.11%E +1.38%K +2.49%G +0.077%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -14.41%E -9.12%K -24.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 16:18
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +3.11%E +1.38%K +2.49%G +0.077%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -14.41%E -9.12%K -24.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 16:18
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +0.819%E +0.372%K +0.683%G +0.006%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -12.78%E -7.94%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:28
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +0.819%E +0.372%K +0.683%G +0.006%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -12.78%E -7.94%K -20.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:28
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -0.556%E -0.256%K -0.475%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.71%EV -13.86%E -8.72%K -23.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 16:20
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.47%E -0.685%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.53%E -5.71%K -14.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 16:29
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.85%E -1.34%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.82%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 16:29
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.85%E -1.34%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.82%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 16:30
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.85%E -1.34%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.82%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 16:30
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.85%E -1.34%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.82%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 16:30
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.85%E -1.34%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.82%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 16:29
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.28%E -3.63%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 16:29
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.36%E -4.31%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 16:30
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.36%E -4.31%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 16:30
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.53%E -5.71%K -14.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 16:29
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -12.78%E -7.94%K -20.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 16:29
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 16:29
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 16:30
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 16:30
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -5.60%E -2.72%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -8.99%E -5.35%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 16:30
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 16:29
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 16:30
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.28%E -3.63%K -8.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 16:29
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.53%E -5.71%K -14.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 16:29
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.35%E -4.17%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 16:29
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.35%E -4.17%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.28%E -3.63%K -8.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 16:29
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -8.35%E -4.17%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -11.70%E -7.18%K -18.57%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-08 16:30
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -8.80%E -4.42%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -3.03%E -1.69%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -10.18%E -5.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV +0.220%E +0.119%K +0.259%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-08 16:30
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -10.18%E -5.19%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV +0.220%E +0.119%K +0.259%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-08 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.64%E -5.46%K -11.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.49%E -1.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:29
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.64%E -5.46%K -11.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.49%E -1.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:30
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -11.10%E -5.72%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -1.95%E -1.08%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.47%E -6.53%K -13.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.863%E -0.472%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.93%E -6.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV +0.220%E +0.119%K +0.259%G +0.001%6.7%2026-05-08 16:30
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.93%E -6.80%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.49%E -1.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 16:30
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -14.30%E -7.65%K -16.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -0.863%E -0.472%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 16:29
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -14.76%E -7.94%K -17.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 16:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-05-08 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-05-08 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%4.6%2026-05-08 16:30
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.40%7.8%2026-05-08 16:30
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%8.8%2026-05-08 16:30
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%9.0%2026-05-08 16:29