La scuola delle quote

Sorana Cirstea v Jelena Ostapenko

Inizio: 2026-05-12 11:05 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sorana Cirstea (Casa)

Previsione 58.30%1.72quota equa
EV -1.47%
Vantaggio -0.869%
Kelly -2.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.58%58.27%58.32%59.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.631.631.6963.69%61.29%61.35%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jelena Ostapenko (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.70%2.40quota equa
EV -1.18%
Vantaggio -0.497%
Kelly -0.859%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.05%41.73%41.68%43.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.262.252.3746.51%44.16%44.44%42.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -1.47%E -0.869%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -6.60%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 11:00
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -1.47%E -0.869%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -6.60%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 10:59
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.05%E -1.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -3.26%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 10:59
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.26%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-12 10:59
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 10:59
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 10:59
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.80%E -2.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.01%E -0.856%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 11:00
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.80%E -2.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.76%E -2.55%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 11:00
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.80%E -2.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 10:59
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.80%E -2.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 10:59
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.80%E -2.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 10:59
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.80%E -2.30%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 11:00
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.01%E -0.856%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-12 10:59
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 11:00
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 10:59
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 10:59
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 10:59
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 10:59
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 10:59
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 10:59
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 10:59
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 11:00
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 10:59
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 11:00
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 10:59
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -4.97%E -3.05%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -1.18%E -0.497%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-12 10:56
Unibet (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.97%E -3.05%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 10:59
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.97%E -3.05%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 10:59
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.97%E -3.05%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 10:59
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.97%E -3.05%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 10:59
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.97%E -3.05%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.93%E -2.16%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 11:00
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.97%E -3.05%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.35%E -2.36%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 10:59
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.97%E -3.05%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 10:59
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.68%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:59
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 10:58
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 11:00
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 10:59
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 11:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 10:59
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 10:59
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.51%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 11:00
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -5.35%E -2.36%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 10:59
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 11:00
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.01%E -3.15%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 11:00
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 11:00
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:59
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:59
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 10:59
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.01%E -3.15%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.01%E -3.15%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 11:00
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 10:59
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.72%E -4.20%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 10:59
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.72%E -4.20%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 10:59
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.30%E -4.59%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 10:56
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.47%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.01%E -0.856%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 10:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-12 10:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-12 10:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-12 10:59
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-12 10:59
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-05-12 10:59
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%3.2%2026-05-12 11:00