La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sorana Cirstea v Jelena Ostapenko
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sorana Cirstea (Local)
Predicción 58.30%1.72momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.869%
Kelly -2.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.58%58.27%58.32%59.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.631.631.6963.69%61.29%61.35%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jelena Ostapenko (Visitante)
Predicción 41.70%2.40momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.497%
Kelly -0.859%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.05%41.73%41.68%43.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.262.252.3746.51%44.16%44.44%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -1.47%E -0.869%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -6.60%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -1.47%E -0.869%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -6.60%E -2.95%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.05%E -1.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -3.26%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.26%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.80%E -2.30%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.01%E -0.856%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.80%E -2.30%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.76%E -2.55%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.80%E -2.30%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.80%E -2.30%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.80%E -2.30%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.80%E -2.30%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.35%E -4.81%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.01%E -0.856%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.38%E -2.67%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -4.97%E -3.05%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -1.18%E -0.497%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-12 10:56 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.97%E -3.05%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Betsson | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.97%E -3.05%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.97%E -3.05%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| ReBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.97%E -3.05%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.97%E -3.05%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.93%E -2.16%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.97%E -3.05%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.35%E -2.36%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.97%E -3.05%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.68%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 10:58 |
| SportsBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.51%E -1.97%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -5.35%E -2.36%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.01%E -3.15%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.55%E -3.43%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.01%E -3.15%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -7.01%E -3.15%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.13%E -3.81%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.72%E -4.20%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.18%E -2.75%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.72%E -4.20%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.27%E -3.76%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.30%E -4.59%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.10%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 10:56 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.47%E -5.39%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.01%E -0.856%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Matchbook | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-05-12 10:59 |
| Novig | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 11:00 |