Language:English
Qinwen Zheng v Jelena Ostapenko
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Qinwen Zheng (Local)
Prediction 65.55%1.53fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -7.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.36%65.56%65.48%66.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.451.4771.43%69.21%68.97%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jelena Ostapenko (Visit)
Prediction 34.45%2.90fair odd
EV -0.105%
Edge -0.036%
Kelly -0.055%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.26%34.44%34.52%35.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.732.702.9038.46%36.68%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qinwen Zheng (Local): 65.55%; Jelena Ostapenko (Visit): 34.45%. For Jelena Ostapenko (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.903. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.900, with an expected value of -0.105%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -0.105%E -0.036%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.83%E -0.641%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.52%E -0.889%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.52%E -0.889%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.29%E -2.94%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.58%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.29%E -2.94%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 13:11 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 13:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -5.62%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 13:13 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.24%E -1.52%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 13:16 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 13:12 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.17%E -0.765%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -2.86%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 13:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.91%E -4.87%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.83%E -0.641%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.91%E -4.87%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.91%E -4.87%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 13:17 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.23%E -5.88%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.23%E -5.88%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:17 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.23%E -5.88%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.23%E -5.88%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 13:19 |