L’École des cotes

Qinwen Zheng v Jelena Ostapenko

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 13:33 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Qinwen Zheng (Local)

Prévision 65.55%1.53cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -2.47%
Kelly -7.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.36%65.56%65.48%66.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.441.451.4771.43%69.21%68.97%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jelena Ostapenko (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.45%2.90cote équitable
EV -0.105%
Avantage -0.036%
Kelly -0.055%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.26%34.44%34.52%35.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.732.702.9038.46%36.68%37.04%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -0.105%E -0.036%K -0.055%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 13:19
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.83%E -0.641%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 13:19
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.52%E -0.889%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 13:19
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.52%E -0.889%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 13:19
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-09 13:19
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 13:19
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 13:19
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 13:19
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.29%E -2.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.58%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 13:19
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.29%E -2.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 13:19
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 13:11
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 13:19
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 13:09
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 13:19
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 13:19
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -5.62%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 13:13
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:19
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:19
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:19
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:19
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:19
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:19
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:19
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:19
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:19
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:19
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:19
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:19
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:19
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.24%E -1.52%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 13:19
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:19
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:19
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:16
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:19
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:19
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:12
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 13:19
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 13:19
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.17%E -0.765%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 13:19
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -2.86%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 13:19
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 13:09
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.91%E -4.87%K -16.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -1.83%E -0.641%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 13:19
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.91%E -4.87%K -16.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:19
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.91%E -4.87%K -16.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.44%E -4.02%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 13:17
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.23%E -5.88%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:19
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.23%E -5.88%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:17
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.23%E -5.88%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:19
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.23%E -5.88%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 13:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-05-09 13:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-05-09 13:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-05-09 13:20
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-05-09 13:19
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%2.3%2026-05-09 13:19