Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oleksandra Oliynykova v Linda Noskova

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 10:16 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local)

Prediction 23.83%4.20fair odd
EV +16.74%
Edge +3.42%
Kelly +4.29%
Growth +0.719%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.54%23.78%23.69%27.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.994.004.9028.99%25.08%25.00%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Linda Noskova (Visit)

Prediction 76.17%1.31fair odd
EV +0.550%
Edge +0.417%
Kelly +1.72%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.33%76.22%76.31%80.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.231.231.3287.72%81.12%81.30%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local): 23.83%; Linda Noskova (Visit): 76.17%. For Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.20. 22 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +16.74%E +3.42%K +4.29%G +0.719%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 10:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +13.17%E +2.77%K +3.51%G +0.463%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 10:14
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +11.98%E +2.55%K +3.24%G +0.388%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 10:14
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 10:14
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.11%E -8.57%K -56.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.11%E -8.57%K -56.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 10:15
Bally Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.11%E -8.57%K -56.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 10:15
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 10:14
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 10:14
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 10:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 10:15
LeoVegas🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV +4.83%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.069%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 10:15
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +2.45%E +0.570%K +0.742%G +0.018%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 10:15
PMU (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV +1.26%E +0.296%K +0.387%G +0.005%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.85%EV -13.16%E -11.54%K -94.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 10:15
Casumo🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 10:14
Unibet (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 10:14
Unibet (NL)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 10:14
betPARX🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 10:14
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 10:14
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 10:14
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 10:14
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -11.64%E -10.03%K -72.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 10:14
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 10:14
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 10:14
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 10:14
DraftKings🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.46%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 10:14
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:14
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:14
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 10:14
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 10:14
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 10:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 10:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 10:14
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 10:15
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 10:14
Marathon Bet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -8.51%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 23.71%EV -8.75%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.29%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 10:12
SportsBet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -9.94%E -2.63%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 10:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 10:14
theScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 10:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 10:14
Pinnacle🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -11.13%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV +0.550%E +0.417%K +1.72%G +0.009%2.6%2026-05-09 10:13
Fliff🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 10:14
NetBet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -13.04%E -3.57%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 10:06
GTbets🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 25.87%EV -13.99%E -3.88%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.13%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 10:04
Caesars🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 10:14
Coolbet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -15.18%E -4.26%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -0.973%E -0.749%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 10:14
ReBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -15.42%E -4.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.973%E -0.749%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 10:06
1xBet🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -15.90%E -4.50%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -0.211%E -0.161%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 10:04
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -16.61%E -4.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 10:06
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -16.61%E -4.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 10:04
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -16.61%E -4.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 10:06
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -16.61%E -4.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.50%E -1.95%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 10:14
LowVig.ag🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -16.85%E -4.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV +0.550%E +0.417%K +1.72%G +0.009%4.4%2026-05-09 10:06
BetOnline.ag🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -16.85%E -4.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV +0.550%E +0.417%K +1.72%G +0.009%4.4%2026-05-09 10:07
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -17.80%E -5.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV +0.550%E +0.417%K +1.72%G +0.009%4.7%2026-05-09 10:04
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -17.80%E -5.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -0.973%E -0.749%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 10:08
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -17.80%E -5.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.50%E -1.95%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 10:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -17.80%E -5.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.50%E -1.95%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 10:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-05-09 10:14
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%1.3%2026-05-09 10:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%1.9%2026-05-09 10:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%6.5%2026-05-09 10:14
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%6.7%2026-05-09 10:15
Novig3.97I 25.19%NM 20.12%1.00I 100.00%NM 79.88%25.2%2026-05-09 10:12