La escuela de los momios

Oleksandra Oliynykova v Linda Noskova

Inicio: 2026-05-09 10:16 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local)

Predicción 23.83%4.20momio equitativo
EV +16.74%
Ventaja +3.42%
Kelly +4.29%
Crecimiento +0.719%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.54%23.78%23.69%27.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.994.004.9028.99%25.08%25.00%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Linda Noskova (Visitante)

Predicción 76.17%1.31momio equitativo
EV +0.550%
Ventaja +0.417%
Kelly +1.72%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.33%76.22%76.31%80.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.231.231.3287.72%81.12%81.30%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +16.74%E +3.42%K +4.29%G +0.719%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-09 10:15
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +13.17%E +2.77%K +3.51%G +0.463%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 10:14
ATG (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +11.98%E +2.55%K +3.24%G +0.388%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 10:14
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 10:14
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.11%E -8.57%K -56.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 10:15
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.11%E -8.57%K -56.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 10:15
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.11%E -8.57%K -56.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 10:15
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 10:14
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 10:14
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 10:15
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +7.21%E +1.60%K +2.06%G +0.149%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 10:15
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV +4.83%E +1.10%K +1.42%G +0.069%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 10:15
Tipico (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +2.45%E +0.570%K +0.742%G +0.018%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 10:15
PMU (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV +1.26%E +0.296%K +0.387%G +0.005%1.14I 87.72%NM 78.85%EV -13.16%E -11.54%K -94.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 10:15
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 10:14
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 10:14
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 10:14
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 10:14
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 10:14
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 10:14
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 10:14
Winamax (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV +0.067%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -11.64%E -10.03%K -72.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 10:14
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 10:14
NordicBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 10:14
Betsson4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.32%E -0.565%K -0.747%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 10:14
DraftKings4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.46%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 10:14
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:14
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 10:14
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 10:14
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 10:14
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.70%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 10:14
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 10:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 10:14
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.08%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.83%E -6.47%K -37.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 10:15
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.27%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 10:14
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -8.51%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 10:09
Betclic (FR)3.83I 26.11%NM 23.71%EV -8.75%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.29%EV -9.35%E -7.86%K -49.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 10:12
SportsBet3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -9.94%E -2.63%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 10:09
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 10:14
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.83%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 10:15
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -10.65%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -10.88%E -9.30%K -63.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 10:14
Pinnacle3.73I 26.81%NM 26.14%EV -11.13%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.86%EV +0.550%E +0.417%K +1.72%G +0.009%2.6%2026-05-09 10:13
Fliff3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.85%E -3.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.07%E -5.79%K -32.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 10:14
NetBet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -13.04%E -3.57%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 10:06
GTbets3.61I 27.70%NM 25.87%EV -13.99%E -3.88%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.13%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 10:04
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.23%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 10:14
Coolbet3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -15.18%E -4.26%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -0.973%E -0.749%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 10:14
ReBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -15.42%E -4.34%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -0.973%E -0.749%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 10:06
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -15.90%E -4.50%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -0.211%E -0.161%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 10:04
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -16.61%E -4.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 10:06
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -16.61%E -4.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 10:04
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -16.61%E -4.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.73%E -1.34%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 10:06
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -16.61%E -4.75%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.50%E -1.95%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 10:14
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -16.85%E -4.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV +0.550%E +0.417%K +1.72%G +0.009%4.4%2026-05-09 10:06
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -16.85%E -4.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV +0.550%E +0.417%K +1.72%G +0.009%4.4%2026-05-09 10:07
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -17.80%E -5.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV +0.550%E +0.417%K +1.72%G +0.009%4.7%2026-05-09 10:04
PlayUp3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -17.80%E -5.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -0.973%E -0.749%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 10:08
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -17.80%E -5.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.50%E -1.95%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 10:03
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -17.80%E -5.16%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -2.50%E -1.95%K -8.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 10:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-05-09 10:14
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%1.3%2026-05-09 10:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%1.9%2026-05-09 10:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%6.5%2026-05-09 10:14
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%6.7%2026-05-09 10:15
Novig3.97I 25.19%NM 20.12%1.00I 100.00%NM 79.88%25.2%2026-05-09 10:12