Language:English
Maria Sakkari v Elena Rybakina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maria Sakkari (Local)
Prediction 13.66%7.32fair odd
EV +9.29%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.123%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.70%13.69%13.58%15.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.676.508.0016.67%15.00%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visit)
Prediction 86.34%1.16fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -27.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.27%86.31%86.42%88.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.101.111.1294.34%90.57%90.09%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Sakkari (Local): 13.66%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 86.34%. For Maria Sakkari (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.32. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +9.29%E +1.16%K +1.33%G +0.123% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +9.29%E +1.16%K +1.33%G +0.123% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 18:38 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +9.29%E +1.16%K +1.33%G +0.123% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +9.29%E +1.16%K +1.33%G +0.123% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.48%E -8.00%K -141.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +9.29%E +1.16%K +1.33%G +0.123% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.48%E -8.00%K -141.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +9.29%E +1.16%K +1.33%G +0.123% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.48%E -8.00%K -141.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +5.87%E +0.758%K +0.870%G +0.051% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +5.87%E +0.758%K +0.870%G +0.051% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 18:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.51I 13.32%NM 12.98%EV +2.60%E +0.346%K +0.399%G +0.010% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.02%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +2.46%E +0.328%K +0.378%G +0.009% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -0.956%E -0.132%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.75%E -6.25%K -84.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -1.64%E -0.228%K -0.264%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.37%E -0.624%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.37%E -0.624%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.37%E -0.624%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.37%E -0.624%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.37%E -0.624%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.37%E -0.624%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.37%E -0.624%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -5.74%E -0.832%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.77I 14.77%NM 14.09%EV -7.51%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.91%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.79%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -8.47%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -8.47%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -9.84%E -1.49%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -9.97%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -9.97%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -11.20%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.20%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.20%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.75%E -6.25%K -84.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.20%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.75%E -6.25%K -84.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -11.89%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -12.57%E -1.96%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -14.62%E -2.34%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -14.62%E -2.34%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -15.30%E -2.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -15.30%E -2.47%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.03%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.03%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.03%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.03%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.03%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.03%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.03%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.03%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14% | 0.4% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Novig◎ | 7.41I 13.50%NM 12.72% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.28% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |