Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Maria Sakkari v Elena Rybakina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Maria Sakkari (Local)

Prévision 13.66%7.32cote équitable
EV +9.29%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.33%
Croissance +0.123%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.70%13.69%13.58%15.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.006.676.508.0016.67%15.00%15.38%12.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)

Prévision 86.34%1.16cote équitable
EV -3.30%
Avantage -2.95%
Kelly -27.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.27%86.31%86.42%88.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.061.101.111.1294.34%90.57%90.09%89.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Maria Sakkari (Local) : 13.66% ; Elena Rybakina (Visiteur) : 86.34%. Pour Maria Sakkari (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.32. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.00, soit une espérance positive de +9.29%.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +9.29%E +1.16%K +1.33%G +0.123%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 18:39
BetUS🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +9.29%E +1.16%K +1.33%G +0.123%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:38
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +9.29%E +1.16%K +1.33%G +0.123%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:39
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +9.29%E +1.16%K +1.33%G +0.123%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.48%E -8.00%K -141.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +9.29%E +1.16%K +1.33%G +0.123%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.48%E -8.00%K -141.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +9.29%E +1.16%K +1.33%G +0.123%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.48%E -8.00%K -141.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:40
Coolbet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +5.87%E +0.758%K +0.870%G +0.051%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV +5.87%E +0.758%K +0.870%G +0.051%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 18:38
Pinnacle🎯7.51I 13.32%NM 12.98%EV +2.60%E +0.346%K +0.399%G +0.010%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.02%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-08 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +2.46%E +0.328%K +0.378%G +0.009%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 18:39
NetBet (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -0.956%E -0.132%K -0.153%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.75%E -6.25%K -84.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 18:39
FanDuel🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -1.64%E -0.228%K -0.264%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.37%E -0.624%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 18:40
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.37%E -0.624%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 18:40
Fanatics🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.37%E -0.624%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 18:39
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.37%E -0.624%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 18:39
Betsson🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.37%E -0.624%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 18:39
NordicBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.37%E -0.624%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 18:39
ReBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.37%E -0.624%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -5.74%E -0.832%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 18:39
GTbets🎯6.77I 14.77%NM 14.09%EV -7.51%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.91%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 18:39
Winamax (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -7.79%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:39
Unibet (FR)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -8.47%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Tipico (DE)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -8.47%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.62%E -7.12%K -108.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:39
1xBet🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -9.84%E -1.49%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -9.97%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -9.97%E -1.51%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 18:39
Bet Right🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -11.20%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -11.20%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 18:39
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.20%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.75%E -6.25%K -84.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:39
Everygame🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.20%E -1.72%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.75%E -6.25%K -84.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:39
theScore Bet🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -11.89%E -1.84%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -12.57%E -1.96%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:39
PlayUp🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -14.62%E -2.34%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 18:39
BetMGM🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -14.62%E -2.34%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -15.30%E -2.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:39
Neds🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -15.30%E -2.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:39
LeoVegas🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:40
Grosvenor🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:40
BetRivers🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:40
Casumo🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:39
TABtouch🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:40
Unibet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:39
Bally Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:39
betPARX🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -16.67%E -2.73%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 18:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.03%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.30%E -2.95%K -27.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 18:39
TAB🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.03%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.03%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.03%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.03%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.03%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.16%E -3.75%K -37.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.03%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.03%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.03%E -4.57%K -50.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%0.4%2026-05-08 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-05-08 18:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-05-08 18:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%1.5%2026-05-08 18:40
Smarkets8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%3.1%2026-05-08 18:40
Novig7.41I 13.50%NM 12.72%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.28%6.1%2026-05-08 18:40