A Escola das Odds

Madison Keys v Peyton Stearns

Início: 2026-05-08 11:36 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Madison Keys (Local)

Previsão 59.75%1.67odd justa
EV -2.01%
Vantagem -1.23%
Kelly -3.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.89%59.80%59.68%62.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.581.571.6466.67%63.49%63.69%60.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Peyton Stearns (Visitante)

Previsão 40.25%2.48odd justa
EV +1.84%
Vantagem +0.726%
Kelly +1.20%
Crescimento +0.022%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.81%40.20%40.32%42.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.352.352.5345.45%42.56%42.55%39.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV +1.84%E +0.726%K +1.20%G +0.022%3.6%2026-05-08 11:29
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV +1.84%E +0.726%K +1.20%G +0.022%3.6%2026-05-08 11:29
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +0.629%E +0.252%K +0.419%G +0.003%5.8%2026-05-08 11:34
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.38%E -0.565%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 11:29
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -2.59%E -1.07%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 11:29
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.01%E -1.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-08 11:30
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.61%E -1.60%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 11:30
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 11:29
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 11:34
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 11:29
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 11:30
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 11:29
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 11:29
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 11:29
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -3.80%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 11:25
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 11:24
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 11:35
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 11:35
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 11:34
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 11:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 11:34
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 11:34
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 11:34
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 11:34
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 11:34
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.60%E -1.94%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 11:24
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.60%E -1.94%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 11:35
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.81%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 11:24
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.81%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 11:35
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 11:24
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 11:34
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 11:34
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 11:34
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 11:24
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 11:34
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.58%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 11:29
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.81%E -2.48%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 11:29
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -6.21%E -2.67%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 11:34
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -6.62%E -2.85%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 11:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 11:24
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 11:24
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 11:35
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 11:34
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 11:35
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 11:32
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -8.63%E -3.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 11:29
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.81%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.43%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 11:34
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.43%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 11:24
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.43%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 11:29
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.43%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.43%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 11:25
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.43%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 11:24
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.43%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 11:34
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.43%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 11:34
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.43%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.45%E -5.20%K -9.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 11:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-05-08 11:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-08 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-08 11:34
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%2.4%2026-05-08 11:34
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-05-08 11:34
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%5.0%2026-05-08 11:35