مدرسة الاحتمالات

Madison Keys v Peyton Stearns

البداية: 2026-05-08 11:36 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Madison Keys (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.75%1.67السعر العادل
EV -2.01%
الأفضلية -1.23%
Kelly -3.14%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.89%59.80%59.68%62.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.581.571.6466.67%63.49%63.69%60.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Peyton Stearns (الضيف)

التنبؤ 40.25%2.48السعر العادل
EV +1.84%
الأفضلية +0.726%
Kelly +1.20%
النمو +0.022%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.81%40.20%40.32%42.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.352.352.5345.45%42.56%42.55%39.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV +1.84%E +0.726%K +1.20%G +0.022%3.6%2026-05-08 11:29
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV +1.84%E +0.726%K +1.20%G +0.022%3.6%2026-05-08 11:29
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +0.629%E +0.252%K +0.419%G +0.003%5.8%2026-05-08 11:34
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.38%E -0.565%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 11:29
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -2.59%E -1.07%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 11:29
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.01%E -1.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-08 11:30
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -2.61%E -1.60%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 11:30
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 11:29
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 11:34
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 11:29
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 11:30
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 11:29
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 11:29
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.40%E -1.42%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 11:29
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -3.80%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 11:25
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 11:24
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 11:35
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 11:35
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 11:34
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 11:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 11:34
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 11:34
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 11:34
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 11:34
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.20%E -1.77%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 11:34
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.60%E -1.94%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 11:24
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.60%E -1.94%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 11:35
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.81%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 11:24
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.81%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 11:35
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 11:24
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 11:34
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 11:34
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 11:34
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 11:24
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 11:34
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.58%E -5.61%K -16.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.41%E -2.30%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 11:29
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.81%E -2.48%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 11:29
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -6.21%E -2.67%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 11:34
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -6.62%E -2.85%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 11:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.21%E -1.98%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 11:24
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 11:24
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.00%E -3.14%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 11:35
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 11:34
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.39%E -4.77%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 11:35
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -9.18%E -6.04%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -7.42%E -3.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 11:32
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -8.63%E -3.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 11:29
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.81%E -2.36%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.43%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 11:34
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.43%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 11:24
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.43%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 11:29
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.43%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.60%E -3.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.43%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 11:25
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.20%E -3.95%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.43%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 11:24
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.79%E -4.35%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.43%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 11:34
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.99%E -5.19%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.43%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 11:34
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -10.38%E -6.92%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.43%E -4.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.40%E -2.75%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -11.45%E -5.20%K -9.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 11:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-05-08 11:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-08 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-08 11:34
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%2.4%2026-05-08 11:34
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-05-08 11:34
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%5.0%2026-05-08 11:35