A Escola das Odds

Liudmila Samsonova v Ann Li

Início: 2026-05-08 09:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Liudmila Samsonova (Local)

Previsão 47.93%2.09odd justa
EV +9.77%
Vantagem +4.27%
Kelly +7.57%
Crescimento +0.740%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.64%48.16%47.50%56.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.901.912.2960.61%52.52%52.36%43.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ann Li (Visitante)

Previsão 52.07%1.92odd justa
EV +15.07%
Vantagem +6.82%
Kelly +12.45%
Crescimento +1.88%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.19%51.84%52.50%58.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.571.871.832.2163.69%53.42%54.64%45.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -19.47%E -11.59%K -28.63%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV +15.07%E +6.82%K +12.45%G +1.88%4.8%2026-05-08 08:59
ReBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -18.51%E -10.89%K -26.45%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +12.98%E +5.98%K +11.10%G +1.44%4.9%2026-05-08 08:58
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -19.47%E -11.59%K -28.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +11.94%E +5.55%K +10.38%G +1.24%6.0%2026-05-08 09:05
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -20.91%E -12.67%K -32.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +11.94%E +5.55%K +10.38%G +1.24%7.1%2026-05-08 08:58
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -16.60%E -9.54%K -22.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +10.38%E +4.90%K +9.27%G +0.962%4.6%2026-05-08 09:05
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -17.55%E -10.21%K -24.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +10.38%E +4.90%K +9.27%G +0.962%5.3%2026-05-08 09:03
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -17.07%E -9.87%K -23.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +9.34%E +4.45%K +8.49%G +0.793%5.4%2026-05-08 08:54
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -18.51%E -10.89%K -26.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +9.34%E +4.45%K +8.49%G +0.793%6.4%2026-05-08 09:03
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -15.16%E -8.56%K -19.68%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +7.78%E +3.76%K +7.27%G +0.565%4.8%2026-05-08 09:02
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -16.12%E -9.21%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV +7.78%E +3.76%K +7.27%G +0.565%5.5%2026-05-08 09:04
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -13.72%E -7.62%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +6.74%E +3.29%K +6.41%G +0.432%4.3%2026-05-08 09:06
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -13.72%E -7.62%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +6.74%E +3.29%K +6.41%G +0.432%4.3%2026-05-08 09:07
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -17.07%E -9.87%K -23.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +6.74%E +3.29%K +6.41%G +0.432%6.6%2026-05-08 09:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -18.51%E -10.89%K -26.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +6.74%E +3.29%K +6.41%G +0.432%7.6%2026-05-08 09:04
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -18.51%E -10.89%K -26.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +6.74%E +3.29%K +6.41%G +0.432%7.6%2026-05-08 09:04
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -14.68%E -8.25%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +4.13%E +2.07%K +4.13%G +0.171%6.2%2026-05-08 09:07
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -18.51%E -10.89%K -26.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +4.13%E +2.07%K +4.13%G +0.171%8.8%2026-05-08 08:58
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.72%E -7.62%K -17.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +1.53%E +0.784%K +1.61%G +0.025%6.8%2026-05-08 09:14
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.72%E -7.62%K -17.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +1.53%E +0.784%K +1.61%G +0.025%6.8%2026-05-08 08:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.72%E -7.62%K -17.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -0.554%E -0.290%K -0.608%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 09:14
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.64%E -1.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 09:15
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.36%E -5.54%K -11.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:14
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.01%E -3.61%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.70%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 09:15
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 09:10
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 09:14
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 09:15
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.32%E -6.12%K -13.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.32%E -6.12%K -13.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -10.84%E -5.83%K -12.61%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -4.20%E -2.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 09:14
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:14
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:14
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:15
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:15
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:15
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 09:15
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.80%E -3.80%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 09:15
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.80%E -3.80%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 09:15
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.80%E -3.80%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 09:15
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.80%E -3.80%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 09:15
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.80%E -3.80%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 09:15
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.80%E -3.80%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 09:15
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.84%E -4.43%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 09:15
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.84%E -4.43%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 09:15
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.84%E -4.43%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 09:15
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.84%E -4.43%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 09:10
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.36%E -4.75%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 09:15
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -10.84%E -5.83%K -12.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -8.36%E -4.75%K -11.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 09:15
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.03%EV -12.28%E -6.71%K -14.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.97%EV -8.36%E -4.75%K -11.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 09:14
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.88%E -5.08%K -11.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:10
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.88%E -5.08%K -11.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:15
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -6.05%E -3.09%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -9.40%E -5.41%K -12.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 09:15
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -9.40%E -5.41%K -12.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 09:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 09:15
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.05%E -3.09%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -10.45%E -6.07%K -14.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 09:15
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +3.06%E +1.42%K +2.66%G +0.081%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -10.97%E -6.41%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 09:14
DraftKings2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +4.02%E +1.85%K +3.43%G +0.138%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -13.05%E -7.81%K -19.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 09:14
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +5.45%E +2.48%K +4.55%G +0.248%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -14.09%E -8.54%K -21.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV +9.77%E +4.27%K +7.57%G +0.740%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -14.61%E -8.91%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 09:15
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV +5.45%E +2.48%K +4.55%G +0.248%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -18.26%E -11.63%K -32.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-05-08 09:15
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-05-08 09:15
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-05-08 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.7%2026-05-08 09:15
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%6.9%2026-05-08 09:15