La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Liudmila Samsonova v Ann Li
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Liudmila Samsonova (Local)
Predicción 47.93%2.09momio equitativo
EV +9.77%
Ventaja +4.27%
Kelly +7.57%
Crecimiento +0.740%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.64%48.16%47.50%56.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.901.912.2960.61%52.52%52.36%43.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ann Li (Visitante)
Predicción 52.07%1.92momio equitativo
EV +15.07%
Ventaja +6.82%
Kelly +12.45%
Crecimiento +1.88%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.19%51.84%52.50%58.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.871.832.2163.69%53.42%54.64%45.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -19.47%E -11.59%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV +15.07%E +6.82%K +12.45%G +1.88% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 08:59 |
| ReBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -18.51%E -10.89%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +12.98%E +5.98%K +11.10%G +1.44% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 08:58 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -19.47%E -11.59%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +11.94%E +5.55%K +10.38%G +1.24% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -20.91%E -12.67%K -32.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +11.94%E +5.55%K +10.38%G +1.24% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 08:58 |
| SportsBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -16.60%E -9.54%K -22.43%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +10.38%E +4.90%K +9.27%G +0.962% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 09:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -17.55%E -10.21%K -24.38%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +10.38%E +4.90%K +9.27%G +0.962% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:03 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -17.07%E -9.87%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +9.34%E +4.45%K +8.49%G +0.793% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 08:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -18.51%E -10.89%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +9.34%E +4.45%K +8.49%G +0.793% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 09:03 |
| 1xBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -15.16%E -8.56%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +7.78%E +3.76%K +7.27%G +0.565% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 09:02 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -16.12%E -9.21%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV +7.78%E +3.76%K +7.27%G +0.565% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 09:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -13.72%E -7.62%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +6.74%E +3.29%K +6.41%G +0.432% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 09:06 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -13.72%E -7.62%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +6.74%E +3.29%K +6.41%G +0.432% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 09:07 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -17.07%E -9.87%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +6.74%E +3.29%K +6.41%G +0.432% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -18.51%E -10.89%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +6.74%E +3.29%K +6.41%G +0.432% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 09:04 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -18.51%E -10.89%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +6.74%E +3.29%K +6.41%G +0.432% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 09:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -14.68%E -8.25%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +4.13%E +2.07%K +4.13%G +0.171% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 09:07 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -18.51%E -10.89%K -26.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +4.13%E +2.07%K +4.13%G +0.171% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 08:58 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.72%E -7.62%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +1.53%E +0.784%K +1.61%G +0.025% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.72%E -7.62%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +1.53%E +0.784%K +1.61%G +0.025% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 08:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.72%E -7.62%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -0.554%E -0.290%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.64%E -1.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.36%E -5.54%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.41%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.01%E -3.61%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.70%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 09:10 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.32%E -6.12%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.32%E -6.12%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -10.84%E -5.83%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -4.20%E -2.28%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.80%E -3.80%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.80%E -3.80%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.80%E -3.80%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.80%E -3.80%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.80%E -3.80%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.80%E -3.80%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.84%E -4.43%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.84%E -4.43%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.84%E -4.43%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.84%E -4.43%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.36%E -4.75%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -10.84%E -5.83%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -8.36%E -4.75%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.03%EV -12.28%E -6.71%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.97%EV -8.36%E -4.75%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.88%E -5.08%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.88%E -5.08%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -6.05%E -3.09%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -9.40%E -5.41%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -9.40%E -5.41%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.05%E -3.09%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -10.45%E -6.07%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +3.06%E +1.42%K +2.66%G +0.081% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -10.97%E -6.41%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| DraftKings | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +4.02%E +1.85%K +3.43%G +0.138% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -13.05%E -7.81%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 09:14 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +5.45%E +2.48%K +4.55%G +0.248% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -14.09%E -8.54%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV +9.77%E +4.27%K +7.57%G +0.740% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -14.61%E -8.91%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV +5.45%E +2.48%K +4.55%G +0.248% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -18.26%E -11.63%K -32.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 1.8% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20% | 2.7% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |
| Novig | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 09:15 |