L’École des cotes

Liudmila Samsonova v Ann Li

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 09:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Liudmila Samsonova (Local)

Prévision 47.93%2.09cote équitable
EV +9.77%
Avantage +4.27%
Kelly +7.57%
Croissance +0.740%

avec la cote maximale 2.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.64%48.16%47.50%56.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.901.912.2960.61%52.52%52.36%43.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ann Li (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.07%1.92cote équitable
EV +15.07%
Avantage +6.82%
Kelly +12.45%
Croissance +1.88%

avec la cote maximale 2.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.19%51.84%52.50%58.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.871.832.2163.69%53.42%54.64%45.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -19.47%E -11.59%K -28.63%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV +15.07%E +6.82%K +12.45%G +1.88%4.8%2026-05-08 08:59
ReBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -18.51%E -10.89%K -26.45%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV +12.98%E +5.98%K +11.10%G +1.44%4.9%2026-05-08 08:58
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -19.47%E -11.59%K -28.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +11.94%E +5.55%K +10.38%G +1.24%6.0%2026-05-08 09:05
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -20.91%E -12.67%K -32.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +11.94%E +5.55%K +10.38%G +1.24%7.1%2026-05-08 08:58
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -16.60%E -9.54%K -22.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +10.38%E +4.90%K +9.27%G +0.962%4.6%2026-05-08 09:05
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -17.55%E -10.21%K -24.38%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +10.38%E +4.90%K +9.27%G +0.962%5.3%2026-05-08 09:03
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -17.07%E -9.87%K -23.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +9.34%E +4.45%K +8.49%G +0.793%5.4%2026-05-08 08:54
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -18.51%E -10.89%K -26.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +9.34%E +4.45%K +8.49%G +0.793%6.4%2026-05-08 09:03
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -15.16%E -8.56%K -19.68%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV +7.78%E +3.76%K +7.27%G +0.565%4.8%2026-05-08 09:02
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -16.12%E -9.21%K -21.49%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV +7.78%E +3.76%K +7.27%G +0.565%5.5%2026-05-08 09:04
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -13.72%E -7.62%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +6.74%E +3.29%K +6.41%G +0.432%4.3%2026-05-08 09:06
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -13.72%E -7.62%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +6.74%E +3.29%K +6.41%G +0.432%4.3%2026-05-08 09:07
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -17.07%E -9.87%K -23.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +6.74%E +3.29%K +6.41%G +0.432%6.6%2026-05-08 09:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -18.51%E -10.89%K -26.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +6.74%E +3.29%K +6.41%G +0.432%7.6%2026-05-08 09:04
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -18.51%E -10.89%K -26.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +6.74%E +3.29%K +6.41%G +0.432%7.6%2026-05-08 09:04
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -14.68%E -8.25%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +4.13%E +2.07%K +4.13%G +0.171%6.2%2026-05-08 09:07
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -18.51%E -10.89%K -26.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +4.13%E +2.07%K +4.13%G +0.171%8.8%2026-05-08 08:58
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.72%E -7.62%K -17.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +1.53%E +0.784%K +1.61%G +0.025%6.8%2026-05-08 09:14
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -13.72%E -7.62%K -17.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +1.53%E +0.784%K +1.61%G +0.025%6.8%2026-05-08 08:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -13.72%E -7.62%K -17.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -0.554%E -0.290%K -0.608%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 09:14
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.64%E -1.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 09:15
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.36%E -5.54%K -11.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.41%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:14
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.01%E -3.61%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.16%E -1.70%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 09:15
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 09:10
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 09:14
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 09:15
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.32%E -6.12%K -13.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.32%E -6.12%K -13.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.99%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -10.84%E -5.83%K -12.61%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -4.20%E -2.28%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 09:14
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:14
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:14
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:15
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:15
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.72%E -2.58%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 09:15
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.28%E -3.49%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 09:15
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.80%E -3.80%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 09:15
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.80%E -3.80%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 09:15
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.80%E -3.80%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 09:15
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.80%E -3.80%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 09:15
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.80%E -3.80%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 09:15
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.17%E -1.57%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.80%E -3.80%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 09:15
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.84%E -4.43%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 09:15
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.84%E -4.43%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 09:15
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.84%E -4.43%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 09:15
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.84%E -4.43%K -10.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 09:10
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.36%E -4.75%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 09:15
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -10.84%E -5.83%K -12.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -8.36%E -4.75%K -11.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 09:15
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.03%EV -12.28%E -6.71%K -14.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.97%EV -8.36%E -4.75%K -11.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 09:14
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.88%E -5.08%K -11.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:10
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.88%E -5.08%K -11.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 09:15
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -6.05%E -3.09%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -9.40%E -5.41%K -12.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 09:15
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -8.45%E -4.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -9.40%E -5.41%K -12.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 09:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 09:15
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.13%E -2.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -6.53%E -3.35%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.93%E -5.74%K -13.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.05%E -3.09%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -10.45%E -6.07%K -14.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 09:15
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +3.06%E +1.42%K +2.66%G +0.081%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -10.97%E -6.41%K -15.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 09:14
DraftKings2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV +4.02%E +1.85%K +3.43%G +0.138%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -13.05%E -7.81%K -19.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 09:14
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +5.45%E +2.48%K +4.55%G +0.248%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -14.09%E -8.54%K -21.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV +9.77%E +4.27%K +7.57%G +0.740%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -14.61%E -8.91%K -22.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 09:15
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV +5.45%E +2.48%K +4.55%G +0.248%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -18.26%E -11.63%K -32.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-05-08 09:15
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-05-08 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-05-08 09:15
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-05-08 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.7%2026-05-08 09:15
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%6.9%2026-05-08 09:15