Language:English
Lisa Pigato v Tyra Caterina Grant
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lisa Pigato (Local)
Prediction 50.56%1.98fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%50.44%50.67%51.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.851.9555.56%53.75%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tyra Caterina Grant (Visit)
Prediction 49.44%2.02fair odd
EV -0.140%
Edge -0.069%
Kelly -0.137%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.07%49.56%49.33%51.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.922.0254.64%52.24%52.08%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lisa Pigato (Local): 50.56%; Tyra Caterina Grant (Visit): 49.44%. For Tyra Caterina Grant (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.023. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.020, with an expected value of -0.140%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.40%E -0.718%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.54%E -4.62%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 11:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.40%E -0.718%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.54%E -4.62%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 11:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.41%E -1.25%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.54%E -4.62%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.92%E -1.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.65%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.92%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.92%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 10:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.92%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 11:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.42%E -1.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.53%E -5.21%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.42%E -1.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.53%E -5.21%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 10:33 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.93%E -2.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.54%E -4.62%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.93%E -2.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.54%E -4.62%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.93%E -2.07%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.54%E -4.62%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 11:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -0.140%E -0.069%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 10:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.59%E -2.38%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -4.04%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -4.04%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 11:12 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.95%E -3.20%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.11%E -1.58%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.95%E -3.20%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.11%E -1.58%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 10:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.11%E -1.58%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 11:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.59%E -2.38%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.08%E -2.65%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 10:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.07%E -3.20%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 11:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 10:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.59%E -2.38%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 10:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.58%E -2.92%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 11:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.58%E -2.92%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.06%E -3.76%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 10:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.06%E -3.76%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.53%E -5.21%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-06 11:08 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.97%E -4.38%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.08%E -2.65%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 11:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.97%E -4.38%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.08%E -2.65%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.58%E -2.92%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.07%E -3.20%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 10:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.07%E -3.20%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 10:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.53%E -5.21%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-06 11:02 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47% | 2.1% | 2026-05-06 11:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 11:14 |