L’École des cotes

Lisa Pigato v Tyra Caterina Grant

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 11:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Lisa Pigato (Local)

Prévision 50.56%1.98cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.718%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.68%50.44%50.67%51.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.861.851.9555.56%53.75%54.05%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tyra Caterina Grant (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.44%2.02cote équitable
EV -0.140%
Avantage -0.069%
Kelly -0.137%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.07%49.56%49.33%51.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.911.922.0254.64%52.24%52.08%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.40%E -0.718%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.54%E -4.62%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:14
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.40%E -0.718%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.54%E -4.62%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:14
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.41%E -1.25%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.54%E -4.62%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 11:15
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.92%E -1.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.65%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 10:35
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.92%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 10:35
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.92%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 10:34
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.42%E -1.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.58%E -2.92%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 11:14
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.42%E -1.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.53%E -5.21%K -11.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 11:15
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.42%E -1.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.53%E -5.21%K -11.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 10:33
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.93%E -2.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.54%E -4.62%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 11:15
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.93%E -2.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.54%E -4.62%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 11:10
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.93%E -2.07%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.54%E -4.62%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 11:10
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -0.140%E -0.069%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 10:35
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 10:39
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 11:15
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.59%E -2.38%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:10
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -4.04%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 11:15
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -4.04%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 11:12
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.95%E -3.20%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.11%E -1.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 10:35
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.95%E -3.20%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.11%E -1.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 10:34
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.11%E -1.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 10:50
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:35
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:49
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:45
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:45
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:50
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:50
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:49
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:45
Winamax (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:05
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:34
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:45
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:45
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:50
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:45
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.59%E -2.38%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 11:15
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.08%E -2.65%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 10:39
Winamax (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.07%E -3.20%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 11:05
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 10:34
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.59%E -2.38%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 10:45
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.58%E -2.92%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 11:04
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.58%E -2.92%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.06%E -3.76%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 10:34
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.06%E -3.76%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 10:35
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.53%E -5.21%K -11.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 11:08
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.97%E -4.38%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.08%E -2.65%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 11:14
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.97%E -4.38%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.08%E -2.65%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.58%E -2.92%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 11:15
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.07%E -3.20%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 10:39
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.07%E -3.20%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 10:34
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -8.98%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.53%E -5.21%K -11.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-06 11:02
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-06 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-05-06 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-05-06 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-05-06 11:15
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-05-06 11:15
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%4.2%2026-05-06 11:14