Language:English
Katie Boulter v Eva Lys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Katie Boulter (Local)
Prediction 46.32%2.16fair odd
EV +11.18%
Edge +4.66%
Kelly +7.98%
Growth +0.893%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%47.88%45.88%58.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.952.052.4063.69%51.26%48.78%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Eva Lys (Visit)
Prediction 53.68%1.86fair odd
EV +23.99%
Edge +10.39%
Kelly +18.31%
Growth +4.39%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.22%52.12%54.12%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.861.742.3163.69%53.70%57.47%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katie Boulter (Local): 46.32%; Eva Lys (Visit): 53.68%. For Eva Lys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +23.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -24.95%E -15.40%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +23.99%E +10.39%K +18.31%G +4.39% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -24.95%E -15.40%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +23.45%E +10.20%K +18.04%G +4.23% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -24.95%E -15.40%K -40.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +23.45%E +10.20%K +18.04%G +4.23% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -24.03%E -14.65%K -37.54%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV +21.84%E +9.62%K +17.20%G +3.76% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -24.03%E -14.65%K -37.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +20.77%E +9.23%K +16.62%G +3.45% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -24.49%E -15.03%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +20.77%E +9.23%K +16.62%G +3.45% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -21.71%E -12.85%K -31.47%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +20.23%E +9.03%K +16.32%G +3.30% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -21.71%E -12.85%K -31.47%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +20.23%E +9.03%K +16.32%G +3.30% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -23.56%E -14.28%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV +19.70%E +8.83%K +16.01%G +3.15% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -23.10%E -13.92%K -35.00%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV +19.16%E +8.63%K +15.70%G +3.01% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -19.40%E -11.15%K -26.21%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV +18.62%E +8.43%K +15.39%G +2.87% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 15:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -22.64%E -13.56%K -33.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +18.09%E +8.22%K +15.07%G +2.73% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -23.56%E -14.28%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +18.09%E +8.22%K +15.07%G +2.73% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -27.27%E -17.37%K -47.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV +18.09%E +8.22%K +15.07%G +2.73% | 9.1% | 2026-05-06 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -22.17%E -13.20%K -32.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +15.40%E +7.16%K +13.39%G +2.06% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 14:56 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -24.03%E -14.65%K -37.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV +15.40%E +7.16%K +13.39%G +2.06% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -24.03%E -14.65%K -37.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV +15.40%E +7.16%K +13.39%G +2.06% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 14:56 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -23.56%E -14.28%K -36.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV +12.72%E +6.06%K +11.56%G +1.47% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -15.23%E -8.32%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -1.77%E -0.969%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.35%E -3.68%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.38%E -1.88%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -7.81%E -3.93%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -3.92%E -2.19%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.35%E -3.68%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.99%E -2.82%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.03%E -2.46%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.67%E -4.96%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.72%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.72%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.72%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.72%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.72%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.72%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.03%E -2.46%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.35%E -3.68%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.14%E -4.13%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.79%E -0.845%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.68%E -4.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.79%E -0.845%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.68%E -4.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.79%E -0.845%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.68%E -4.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -4.57%E -2.22%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -7.68%E -4.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.35%E -3.68%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.68%E -4.46%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.72%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.64%E -1.75%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.64%E -1.75%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.64%E -1.75%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.64%E -1.75%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.03%E -2.46%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.03%E -2.46%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -7.35%E -3.68%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -9.29%E -5.50%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.402%E -0.187%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.72%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -4.11%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -5.03%E -2.46%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -10.90%E -6.57%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -9.20%E -4.70%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -10.90%E -6.57%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +4.23%E +1.88%K +3.38%G +0.143% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -11.44%E -6.93%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -0.402%E -0.187%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -11.44%E -6.93%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.58%EV -8.74%E -4.44%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -11.44%E -6.93%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +1.91%E +0.870%K +1.59%G +0.031% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -13.05%E -8.05%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV +3.30%E +1.48%K +2.69%G +0.089% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -13.58%E -8.44%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +11.18%E +4.66%K +7.98%G +0.893% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -14.66%E -9.22%K -24.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 15:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +6.55%E +2.85%K +5.04%G +0.330% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -15.73%E -10.02%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 15:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV +1.91%E +0.870%K +1.59%G +0.031% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -15.73%E -10.02%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-06 15:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 0.9% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 1.1% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 1.2% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 1.5% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 15:15 |