La escuela de los momios

Katie Boulter v Eva Lys

Inicio: 2026-05-06 15:18 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Katie Boulter (Local)

Predicción 46.32%2.16momio equitativo
EV +11.18%
Ventaja +4.66%
Kelly +7.98%
Crecimiento +0.893%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.85%47.88%45.88%58.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.952.052.4063.69%51.26%48.78%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Eva Lys (Visitante)

Predicción 53.68%1.86momio equitativo
EV +23.99%
Ventaja +10.39%
Kelly +18.31%
Crecimiento +4.39%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.22%52.12%54.12%60.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.861.742.3163.69%53.70%57.47%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -24.95%E -15.40%K -40.25%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +23.99%E +10.39%K +18.31%G +4.39%5.0%2026-05-06 14:55
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -24.95%E -15.40%K -40.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +23.45%E +10.20%K +18.04%G +4.23%5.2%2026-05-06 15:05
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -24.95%E -15.40%K -40.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +23.45%E +10.20%K +18.04%G +4.23%5.2%2026-05-06 14:55
ReBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -24.03%E -14.65%K -37.54%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV +21.84%E +9.62%K +17.20%G +3.76%5.0%2026-05-06 14:54
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -24.03%E -14.65%K -37.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +20.77%E +9.23%K +16.62%G +3.45%5.4%2026-05-06 14:54
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -24.49%E -15.03%K -38.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +20.77%E +9.23%K +16.62%G +3.45%5.8%2026-05-06 14:54
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -21.71%E -12.85%K -31.47%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +20.23%E +9.03%K +16.32%G +3.30%3.8%2026-05-06 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -21.71%E -12.85%K -31.47%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +20.23%E +9.03%K +16.32%G +3.30%3.8%2026-05-06 14:55
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -23.56%E -14.28%K -36.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV +19.70%E +8.83%K +16.01%G +3.15%5.4%2026-05-06 14:55
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -23.10%E -13.92%K -35.00%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV +19.16%E +8.63%K +15.70%G +3.01%5.3%2026-05-06 15:00
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -19.40%E -11.15%K -26.21%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV +18.62%E +8.43%K +15.39%G +2.87%2.7%2026-05-06 15:10
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -22.64%E -13.56%K -33.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +18.09%E +8.22%K +15.07%G +2.73%5.3%2026-05-06 15:00
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -23.56%E -14.28%K -36.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +18.09%E +8.22%K +15.07%G +2.73%6.1%2026-05-06 15:00
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -27.27%E -17.37%K -47.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV +18.09%E +8.22%K +15.07%G +2.73%9.1%2026-05-06 15:00
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -22.17%E -13.20%K -32.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +15.40%E +7.16%K +13.39%G +2.06%6.0%2026-05-06 14:56
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -24.03%E -14.65%K -37.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV +15.40%E +7.16%K +13.39%G +2.06%7.5%2026-05-06 14:55
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -24.03%E -14.65%K -37.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV +15.40%E +7.16%K +13.39%G +2.06%7.5%2026-05-06 14:56
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -23.56%E -14.28%K -36.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV +12.72%E +6.06%K +11.56%G +1.47%8.2%2026-05-06 14:55
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -15.23%E -8.32%K -18.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -1.77%E -0.969%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 15:15
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.35%E -3.68%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.38%E -1.88%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 15:15
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -7.81%E -3.93%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -3.92%E -2.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 15:15
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.35%E -3.68%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.99%E -2.82%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 15:15
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.03%E -2.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 15:15
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.67%E -4.96%K -10.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.07%E -3.47%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 15:15
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.72%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 15:15
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.72%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 15:15
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.72%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 15:15
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.72%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 15:15
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.72%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 15:15
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.72%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 15:15
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.03%E -2.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.60%E -3.80%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 15:15
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.35%E -3.68%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.14%E -4.13%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 15:15
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.79%E -0.845%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.68%E -4.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 15:15
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.79%E -0.845%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.68%E -4.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 15:15
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -1.79%E -0.845%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.68%E -4.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 15:15
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -4.57%E -2.22%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -7.68%E -4.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 15:15
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.35%E -3.68%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.68%E -4.46%K -10.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 15:15
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.72%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 15:15
PointsBet (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.64%E -1.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 15:15
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.64%E -1.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 15:15
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.64%E -1.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 15:15
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.64%E -1.75%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 15:15
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.03%E -2.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 15:15
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.03%E -2.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.75%E -5.15%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 15:15
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -7.35%E -3.68%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -9.29%E -5.50%K -13.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-06 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -0.402%E -0.187%K -0.350%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 15:15
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.72%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 15:15
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -4.11%E -1.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -10.36%E -6.20%K -15.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -5.03%E -2.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -10.90%E -6.57%K -16.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 15:15
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -9.20%E -4.70%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -10.90%E -6.57%K -16.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-06 15:15
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +4.23%E +1.88%K +3.38%G +0.143%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -11.44%E -6.93%K -17.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 15:15
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -0.402%E -0.187%K -0.350%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -11.44%E -6.93%K -17.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 15:15
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.58%EV -8.74%E -4.44%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -11.44%E -6.93%K -17.59%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-06 15:15
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +1.91%E +0.870%K +1.59%G +0.031%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -13.05%E -8.05%K -21.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 15:15
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV +3.30%E +1.48%K +2.69%G +0.089%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -13.58%E -8.44%K -22.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 15:15
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +11.18%E +4.66%K +7.98%G +0.893%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -14.66%E -9.22%K -24.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 15:14
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +6.55%E +2.85%K +5.04%G +0.330%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -15.73%E -10.02%K -27.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 15:14
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV +1.91%E +0.870%K +1.59%G +0.031%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -15.73%E -10.02%K -27.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-06 15:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-06 15:15
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%0.9%2026-05-06 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-05-06 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-05-06 15:15
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%1.5%2026-05-06 15:15
Novig2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%7.0%2026-05-06 15:15