Language:English
Katerina Siniakova v Lois Boisson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Katerina Siniakova (Local)
Prediction 72.49%1.38fair odd
EV +0.030%
Edge +0.021%
Kelly +0.078%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.85%72.38%72.56%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.321.321.3880.00%75.62%75.76%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lois Boisson (Visit)
Prediction 27.51%3.63fair odd
EV +4.83%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.72%
Growth +0.083%
assuming max odds 3.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%27.62%27.44%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.323.353.8133.33%30.15%29.85%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katerina Siniakova (Local): 72.49%; Lois Boisson (Visit): 27.51%. For Lois Boisson (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.83%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -7.94%E -6.25%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV +4.83%E +1.27%K +1.72%G +0.083% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.49%E -5.03%K -22.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.947%E -0.263%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:48 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.49%E -5.03%K -22.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.947%E -0.263%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:48 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.49%E -5.03%K -22.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.947%E -0.263%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.39%E -7.51%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.947%E -0.263%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 10:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.97%EV -3.59%E -2.70%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.03%EV -1.22%E -0.340%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%EV -6.49%E -5.03%K -22.39%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%EV -1.77%E -0.496%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.87%E -2.14%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.59%E -2.70%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.04%E -3.85%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 10:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 10:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.49%E -5.03%K -22.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.94%E -6.25%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 10:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.39%E -7.51%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 10:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 10:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.84%EV -8.67%E -6.88%K -33.34%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.16%EV -7.00%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -2.87%E -2.14%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 10:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.04%E -3.85%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -7.94%E -6.25%K -29.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.80%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.20%EV -8.93%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 10:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.04%E -3.85%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 10:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 10:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.59%E -2.70%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.58%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 10:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.59%E -2.70%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.58%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.95%E -3.74%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-06 10:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.42%E -1.04%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.42%E -1.04%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.42%E -1.04%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.42%E -1.04%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.42%E -1.04%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.42%E -1.04%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.42%E -1.04%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.42%E -1.04%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV +0.030%E +0.021%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.14%E -1.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.14%E -1.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 10:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.14%E -1.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 10:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.87%E -2.14%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.87%E -2.14%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.87%E -2.14%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +0.030%E +0.021%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -16.08%E -5.27%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +0.030%E +0.021%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -16.08%E -5.27%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +0.030%E +0.021%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -16.08%E -5.27%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +0.030%E +0.021%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -16.08%E -5.27%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 10:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -16.08%E -5.27%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.14%E -1.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -17.46%E -5.82%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.14%E -1.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -17.46%E -5.82%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-06 10:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14% | 0.1% | 2026-05-06 10:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33% | 2.6% | 2026-05-06 10:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-05-06 11:00 |