La escuela de los momios

Katerina Siniakova v Lois Boisson

Inicio: 2026-05-06 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Katerina Siniakova (Local)

Predicción 72.49%1.38momio equitativo
EV +0.030%
Ventaja +0.021%
Kelly +0.078%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.85%72.38%72.56%75.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.321.321.3880.00%75.62%75.76%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Lois Boisson (Visitante)

Predicción 27.51%3.63momio equitativo
EV +4.83%
Ventaja +1.27%
Kelly +1.72%
Crecimiento +0.083%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.00%27.62%27.44%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.323.353.8133.33%30.15%29.85%26.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -7.94%E -6.25%K -29.42%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV +4.83%E +1.27%K +1.72%G +0.083%5.0%2026-05-06 11:00
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.49%E -5.03%K -22.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.947%E -0.263%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:48
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.49%E -5.03%K -22.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.947%E -0.263%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:48
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.49%E -5.03%K -22.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.947%E -0.263%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:48
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.39%E -7.51%K -37.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.947%E -0.263%K -0.364%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 10:34
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.97%EV -3.59%E -2.70%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.03%EV -1.22%E -0.340%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 10:35
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%EV -6.49%E -5.03%K -22.39%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%EV -1.77%E -0.496%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 10:35
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.87%E -2.14%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 10:55
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.59%E -2.70%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 10:35
ReBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.04%E -3.85%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 10:35
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 10:34
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 10:35
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 10:59
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 10:35
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.49%E -5.03%K -22.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 10:35
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.94%E -6.25%K -29.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 10:59
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.39%E -7.51%K -37.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 11:00
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 10:35
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.97%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 10:34
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 10:34
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 10:55
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 10:35
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 10:54
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 10:55
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 10:55
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.84%EV -8.67%E -6.88%K -33.34%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.16%EV -7.00%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 10:55
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -2.87%E -2.14%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 10:54
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 10:59
theScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 10:54
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.04%E -3.85%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 10:55
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -7.94%E -6.25%K -29.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 10:55
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 71.80%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.20%EV -8.93%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 10:39
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.04%E -3.85%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 10:59
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.22%E -5.64%K -25.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 10:34
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.59%E -2.70%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.58%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 10:35
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.59%E -2.70%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.58%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 11:00
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.77%E -4.44%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.95%E -3.74%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-06 10:34
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.42%E -1.04%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:59
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.42%E -1.04%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:59
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.42%E -1.04%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:59
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.42%E -1.04%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:00
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.42%E -1.04%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:59
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.42%E -1.04%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:59
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.42%E -1.04%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.42%E -1.04%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.33%E -4.23%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 11:00
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV +0.030%E +0.021%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 10:55
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.14%E -1.59%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.14%E -1.59%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 10:59
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.14%E -1.59%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 10:59
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.87%E -2.14%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 11:00
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.87%E -2.14%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 11:00
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -2.87%E -2.14%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 11:00
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +0.030%E +0.021%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -16.08%E -5.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:54
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +0.030%E +0.021%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -16.08%E -5.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:54
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +0.030%E +0.021%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -16.08%E -5.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:54
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV +0.030%E +0.021%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -16.08%E -5.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -4.32%E -3.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -16.08%E -5.27%K -7.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.14%E -1.59%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -17.46%E -5.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 10:40
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -2.14%E -1.59%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -17.46%E -5.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 10:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14%0.1%2026-05-06 10:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-06 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-06 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-06 11:00
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%2.6%2026-05-06 10:55
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-05-06 11:00