Language:English
Jessica Pegula v Zeynep Sonmez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prediction 78.23%1.28fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -5.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.07%78.09%77.98%79.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.201.211.2687.72%83.05%82.64%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zeynep Sonmez (Visit)
Prediction 21.77%4.59fair odd
EV +2.31%
Edge +0.493%
Kelly +0.626%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.20%21.91%22.02%25.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.274.274.7027.78%23.42%23.42%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 78.23%; Zeynep Sonmez (Visit): 21.77%. For Zeynep Sonmez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.31%E +0.493%K +0.626%G +0.014% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.34%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.31%E +0.493%K +0.626%G +0.014% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -0.950%E -0.209%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -0.950%E -0.209%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -1.17%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 14:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.04%E -0.453%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 14:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.04%E -0.453%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.69%E -6.51%K -42.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.04%E -0.453%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 14:22 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.69%E -6.51%K -42.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.04%E -0.453%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.04%E -0.453%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 14:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.04%E -0.453%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.04%E -0.453%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.04%E -0.453%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -3.13%E -0.703%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 14:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 14:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 14:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 14:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.78%E -3.07%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.39%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 14:18 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.39%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 14:18 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.39%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.30%EV -1.43%E -1.13%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.70%EV -6.61%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.78%E -3.07%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -7.05%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 14:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.78%E -3.07%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -7.05%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 14:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 14:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 14:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 14:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 14:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.57%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.57%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 14:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.57%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.57%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -7.69%E -6.51%K -42.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.75%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -7.69%E -6.51%K -42.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.75%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 14:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -2.99%E -2.41%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -11.84%E -2.92%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 14:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.92%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 14:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.92%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.92%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.92%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 14:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.92%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 14:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.92%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 14:18 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.92%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -10.82%E -9.49%K -77.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.92%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-08 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.21%E -1.77%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -15.10%E -3.87%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -2.99%E -2.41%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -17.28%E -4.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 14:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -17.28%E -4.55%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -1.43%E -1.13%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -21.63%E -6.01%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-08 14:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.7% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.77% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 20.23% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 2.9% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 14:30 |