مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jessica Pegula v Zeynep Sonmez

البداية: 2026-05-08 14:31 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jessica Pegula (المضيف)

التنبؤ 78.23%1.28السعر العادل
EV -1.43%
الأفضلية -1.13%
Kelly -5.50%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.26

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
74.07%78.09%77.98%79.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.141.201.211.2687.72%83.05%82.64%79.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Zeynep Sonmez (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.77%4.59السعر العادل
EV +2.31%
الأفضلية +0.493%
Kelly +0.626%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.20%21.91%22.02%25.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.274.274.7027.78%23.42%23.42%21.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +2.31%E +0.493%K +0.626%G +0.014%4.6%2026-05-08 14:30
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.31%E +0.493%K +0.626%G +0.014%5.3%2026-05-08 14:30
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -0.950%E -0.209%K -0.268%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 14:30
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -0.950%E -0.209%K -0.268%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 14:30
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -1.17%E -0.257%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 14:14
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.04%E -0.453%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 14:29
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.04%E -0.453%K -0.583%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 14:30
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.69%E -6.51%K -42.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.04%E -0.453%K -0.583%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 14:22
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.69%E -6.51%K -42.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.04%E -0.453%K -0.583%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 14:30
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.04%E -0.453%K -0.583%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 14:29
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.04%E -0.453%K -0.583%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 14:30
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.04%E -0.453%K -0.583%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 14:30
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.04%E -0.453%K -0.583%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 14:30
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -3.13%E -0.703%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:10
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 14:29
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 14:30
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 14:30
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 14:29
ReBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 14:09
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 14:30
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 14:29
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 14:30
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.22%E -0.958%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 14:30
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.78%E -3.07%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.39%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 14:18
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.39%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 14:18
Fliff1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.47%E -7.24%K -49.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.39%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 14:30
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 77.30%EV -1.43%E -1.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.70%EV -6.61%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-08 14:30
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.78%E -3.07%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -7.05%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 14:19
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.78%E -3.07%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -7.05%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 14:20
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 14:18
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 14:29
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 14:30
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.34%E -4.41%K -25.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 14:30
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 14:29
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 14:30
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 14:25
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.48%E -1.76%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 14:30
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.57%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:20
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.57%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 14:18
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -6.91%E -5.80%K -36.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -8.57%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 14:30
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.57%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-08 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -7.69%E -6.51%K -42.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.75%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 14:29
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -7.69%E -6.51%K -42.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.75%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 14:29
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -2.99%E -2.41%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -11.84%E -2.92%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 14:14
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.92%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 14:29
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.92%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 14:30
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.92%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 14:30
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.92%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 14:24
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.92%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 14:18
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.12%E -5.10%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.92%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 14:18
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -9.25%E -7.98%K -57.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.92%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 14:30
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -10.82%E -9.49%K -77.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.92%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.21%E -1.77%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -15.10%E -3.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 14:30
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -2.99%E -2.41%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -17.28%E -4.55%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 14:29
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -4.56%E -3.74%K -20.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -17.28%E -4.55%K -6.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-08 14:30
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -1.43%E -1.13%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -21.63%E -6.01%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 14:24
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-05-08 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-05-08 14:30
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%1.7%2026-05-08 14:30
Novig1.22I 81.97%NM 79.77%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.23%2.8%2026-05-08 14:30
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%2.9%2026-05-08 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%4.0%2026-05-08 14:30