Language:English
Jessica Pegula v Rebeka Masarova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prediction 85.87%1.16fair odd
EV +0.471%
Edge +0.403%
Kelly +2.77%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.89%85.69%85.77%88.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.101.101.1795.24%90.57%90.91%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rebeka Masarova (Visit)
Prediction 14.13%7.08fair odd
EV +20.08%
Edge +2.36%
Kelly +2.68%
Growth +0.538%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.18%14.31%14.23%18.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.256.536.508.5019.05%15.31%15.38%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 85.87%; Rebeka Masarova (Visit): 14.13%. For Rebeka Masarova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.08. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -7.26%E -6.72%K -90.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +20.08%E +2.36%K +2.68%G +0.538% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -8.12%E -7.59%K -115.95%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +20.08%E +2.36%K +2.68%G +0.538% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.97%E -8.47%K -149.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +13.02%E +1.63%K +1.86%G +0.242% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -9.83%E -9.37%K -196.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +13.02%E +1.63%K +1.86%G +0.242% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -8.12%E -7.59%K -115.95%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV +9.49%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.133% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 11:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +5.95%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.40%E -5.87%K -71.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.95%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.40%E -5.87%K -71.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.95%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 11:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.40%E -5.87%K -71.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.95%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -8.12%E -7.59%K -115.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +5.95%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -8.12%E -7.59%K -115.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +5.95%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.97%E -8.47%K -149.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +5.95%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 11:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.97%E -8.47%K -149.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +5.95%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.97%E -8.47%K -149.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +5.95%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.26%E -6.72%K -90.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.26%E -6.72%K -90.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 11:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -8.97%E -8.47%K -149.58%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -2.52%E -0.365%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.64%E -0.687%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.43%EV -8.97%E -8.47%K -149.58%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -4.64%E -0.687%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -5.35%E -0.798%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.40%E -5.87%K -71.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.40%E -5.87%K -71.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.26%E -6.72%K -90.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.26%E -6.72%K -90.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.09%EV -9.83%E -9.37%K -196.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 11:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.59%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -9.59%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -9.59%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -9.59%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.40%E -5.87%K -71.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -11.70%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -7.26%E -6.72%K -90.72%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -11.70%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.07%EV -0.388%E -0.334%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.12I 16.34%NM 15.93%EV -13.54%E -2.21%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.96%E -2.62%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 11:08 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.11%E -1.85%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -18.77%E -3.26%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 11:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -2.96%E -2.62%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -18.77%E -3.26%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -19.47%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 11:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -1.25%E -1.08%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -20.89%E -3.73%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.51%EV +0.471%E +0.403%K +2.77%G +0.013% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.49%EV -22.02%E -3.99%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -1.25%E -1.08%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -22.30%E -4.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.11%E -1.85%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -22.30%E -4.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.11%E -1.85%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -22.30%E -4.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-10 11:07 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -2.96%E -2.62%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -22.30%E -4.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -22.30%E -4.05%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -0.388%E -0.334%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -23.29%E -4.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -0.388%E -0.334%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -23.29%E -4.29%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -1.25%E -1.08%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -25.13%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV +0.471%E +0.403%K +2.77%G +0.013% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.11%EV -25.27%E -4.78%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -2.11%E -1.85%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -25.83%E -4.92%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -2.96%E -2.62%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -25.83%E -4.92%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 11:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -2.96%E -2.62%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -25.83%E -4.92%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -25.83%E -4.92%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-10 11:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 11:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20% | 1.5% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.09% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 12.91% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 11:09 |