L’École des cotes

Jessica Pegula v Rebeka Masarova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 11:16 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Prévision 85.87%1.16cote équitable
EV +0.471%
Avantage +0.403%
Kelly +2.77%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 1.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.89%85.69%85.77%88.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.101.101.1795.24%90.57%90.91%85.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rebeka Masarova (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.13%7.08cote équitable
EV +20.08%
Avantage +2.36%
Kelly +2.68%
Croissance +0.538%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.18%14.31%14.23%18.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.256.536.508.5019.05%15.31%15.38%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -7.26%E -6.72%K -90.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +20.08%E +2.36%K +2.68%G +0.538%4.4%2026-05-10 11:09
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -8.12%E -7.59%K -115.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +20.08%E +2.36%K +2.68%G +0.538%5.2%2026-05-10 11:10
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -8.97%E -8.47%K -149.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +13.02%E +1.63%K +1.86%G +0.242%6.8%2026-05-10 11:10
Winamax (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -9.83%E -9.37%K -196.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +13.02%E +1.63%K +1.86%G +0.242%7.7%2026-05-10 11:09
Betsson1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -8.12%E -7.59%K -115.95%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV +9.49%E +1.22%K +1.41%G +0.133%6.4%2026-05-10 11:10
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +5.95%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055%3.4%2026-05-10 11:09
Unibet (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.40%E -5.87%K -71.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.95%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055%5.1%2026-05-10 11:10
Casumo1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.40%E -5.87%K -71.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.95%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055%5.1%2026-05-10 11:10
Hard Rock Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.40%E -5.87%K -71.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.95%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055%5.1%2026-05-10 11:10
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -8.12%E -7.59%K -115.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +5.95%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055%6.8%2026-05-10 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -8.12%E -7.59%K -115.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +5.95%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055%6.8%2026-05-10 11:10
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.97%E -8.47%K -149.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +5.95%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055%7.7%2026-05-10 11:10
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.97%E -8.47%K -149.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +5.95%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055%7.7%2026-05-10 11:09
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.97%E -8.47%K -149.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +5.95%E +0.794%K +0.916%G +0.055%7.7%2026-05-10 11:09
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 11:10
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 11:09
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 11:09
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 11:09
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 11:09
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 11:09
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 11:09
theScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.26%E -6.72%K -90.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 11:09
Bally Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.26%E -6.72%K -90.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.11%E -0.158%K -0.185%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 11:10
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 86.68%EV -8.97%E -8.47%K -149.58%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.32%EV -2.52%E -0.365%K -0.427%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 11:10
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.64%E -0.687%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 11:09
Winamax (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 86.43%EV -8.97%E -8.47%K -149.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -4.64%E -0.687%K -0.807%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 11:09
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -5.35%E -0.798%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 11:09
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 11:09
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 11:09
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.40%E -5.87%K -71.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 11:09
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.40%E -5.87%K -71.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 11:09
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.26%E -6.72%K -90.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 11:09
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.26%E -6.72%K -90.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 11:09
PMU (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 86.09%EV -9.83%E -9.37%K -196.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -8.17%E -1.26%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 11:10
SportsBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.59%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 11:04
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -9.59%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 11:09
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -9.59%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 11:09
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -5.54%E -5.04%K -55.40%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -9.59%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 11:09
LeoVegas1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.40%E -5.87%K -71.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -11.70%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -7.26%E -6.72%K -90.72%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -11.70%E -1.87%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 11:09
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 84.07%EV -0.388%E -0.334%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.93%EV -13.54%E -2.21%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 11:04
Unibet (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.96%E -2.62%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 11:08
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.24%E -2.54%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 11:04
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.11%E -1.85%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -18.77%E -3.26%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 11:00
BetUS1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -2.96%E -2.62%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -18.77%E -3.26%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 11:04
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -19.47%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 11:00
ReBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -1.25%E -1.08%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -20.89%E -3.73%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 10:59
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.51%EV +0.471%E +0.403%K +2.77%G +0.013%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.49%EV -22.02%E -3.99%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-10 10:59
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -1.25%E -1.08%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -22.30%E -4.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 11:04
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.11%E -1.85%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -22.30%E -4.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 11:04
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.11%E -1.85%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -22.30%E -4.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 11:07
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -2.96%E -2.62%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -22.30%E -4.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:09
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.82%E -3.41%K -31.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -22.30%E -4.05%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 10:59
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -0.388%E -0.334%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -23.29%E -4.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 11:04
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -0.388%E -0.334%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -23.29%E -4.29%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 11:04
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -1.25%E -1.08%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -25.13%E -4.74%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 10:59
1xBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.89%EV +0.471%E +0.403%K +2.77%G +0.013%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.11%EV -25.27%E -4.78%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 11:04
BetMGM1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -2.11%E -1.85%K -15.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -25.83%E -4.92%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 11:04
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -2.96%E -2.62%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -25.83%E -4.92%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 11:03
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -2.96%E -2.62%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -25.83%E -4.92%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 11:04
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -4.68%E -4.22%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -25.83%E -4.92%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 11:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-05-10 11:04
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-05-10 11:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.5%2026-05-10 11:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-05-10 11:09
Matchbook1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%3.4%2026-05-10 11:09
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 87.09%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.91%5.3%2026-05-10 11:09