A Escola das Odds

Jelena Ostapenko v Elena Gabriela Ruse

Início: 2026-05-07 15:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jelena Ostapenko (Local)

Previsão 59.09%1.69odd justa
EV -0.725%
Vantagem -0.431%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.70%59.27%58.91%63.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.471.551.531.6868.03%64.44%65.36%59.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visitante)

Previsão 40.91%2.44odd justa
EV +7.59%
Vantagem +2.88%
Kelly +4.65%
Crescimento +0.353%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.17%40.73%41.09%44.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.422.402.6347.62%41.32%41.67%38.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -11.36%E -7.57%K -22.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +6.36%E +2.45%K +3.97%G +0.253%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -12.54%E -8.48%K -26.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +6.36%E +2.45%K +3.97%G +0.253%6.0%2026-05-07 15:00
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -12.54%E -8.48%K -26.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV +4.31%E +1.69%K +2.78%G +0.120%6.8%2026-05-07 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -13.13%E -8.93%K -27.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +4.31%E +1.69%K +2.78%G +0.120%7.2%2026-05-07 15:00
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -13.13%E -8.93%K -27.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +4.31%E +1.69%K +2.78%G +0.120%7.2%2026-05-07 15:00
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +0.223%E +0.091%K +0.154%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 14:55
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -9.00%E -5.84%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +0.223%E +0.091%K +0.154%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 15:00
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 15:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:55
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.70%K -19.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.70%K -19.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.36%E -7.57%K -22.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 14:55
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.68%E -2.26%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 14:50
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.80%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 15:00
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.63%E -4.20%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 15:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 15:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 14:55
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 15:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 15:00
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.87%E -1.65%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 14:55
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -0.725%E -0.431%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -4.69%E -2.01%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 14:50
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.50%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:49
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -3.09%E -1.88%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -6.32%E -2.76%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 14:39
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.09%E -1.88%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.73%E -2.95%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 14:39
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.09%E -1.88%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.73%E -2.95%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 14:39
ReBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.09%E -1.88%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.73%E -2.95%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 14:39
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.73%E -2.95%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.96%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 14:39
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.96%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 14:54
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -7.96%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-07 15:00
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.32%E -0.788%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.00%E -4.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 14:58
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.00%E -4.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.50%E -1.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.05%E -5.60%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 15:00
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -7.82%E -5.01%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -12.05%E -5.60%K -10.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-07 14:39
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.95%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -12.87%E -6.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-07 15:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.32%E -0.788%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -14.09%E -6.71%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 14:48
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-05-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-07 15:00
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%4.3%2026-05-07 15:00