L’École des cotes

Jelena Ostapenko v Elena Gabriela Ruse

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-07 15:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jelena Ostapenko (Local)

Prévision 59.09%1.69cote équitable
EV -0.725%
Avantage -0.431%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.70%59.27%58.91%63.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.551.531.6868.03%64.44%65.36%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.91%2.44cote équitable
EV +7.59%
Avantage +2.88%
Kelly +4.65%
Croissance +0.353%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.17%40.73%41.09%44.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.422.402.6347.62%41.32%41.67%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -11.36%E -7.57%K -22.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +6.36%E +2.45%K +3.97%G +0.253%5.1%2026-05-07 15:00
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -12.54%E -8.48%K -26.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +6.36%E +2.45%K +3.97%G +0.253%6.0%2026-05-07 15:00
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -12.54%E -8.48%K -26.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV +4.31%E +1.69%K +2.78%G +0.120%6.8%2026-05-07 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -13.13%E -8.93%K -27.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +4.31%E +1.69%K +2.78%G +0.120%7.2%2026-05-07 15:00
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -13.13%E -8.93%K -27.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +4.31%E +1.69%K +2.78%G +0.120%7.2%2026-05-07 15:00
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +0.223%E +0.091%K +0.154%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 14:55
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -9.00%E -5.84%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +0.223%E +0.091%K +0.154%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 15:00
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:55
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 15:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 14:55
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.70%K -19.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.70%K -19.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 14:55
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.36%E -7.57%K -22.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 14:55
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.68%E -2.26%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 14:50
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.80%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 15:00
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.63%E -4.20%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 15:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 15:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 14:55
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 15:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 15:00
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.87%E -1.65%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 14:55
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -0.725%E -0.431%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -4.69%E -2.01%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 14:50
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.50%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 14:49
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -3.09%E -1.88%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -6.32%E -2.76%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 14:39
NordicBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.09%E -1.88%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.73%E -2.95%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 14:39
Betsson1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.09%E -1.88%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.73%E -2.95%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 14:39
ReBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.09%E -1.88%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.73%E -2.95%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 14:39
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.73%E -2.95%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.96%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 14:39
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.96%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 14:54
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -7.96%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-07 15:00
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.32%E -0.788%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.00%E -4.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 14:58
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.00%E -4.55%K -8.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.50%E -1.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.05%E -5.60%K -10.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 15:00
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -7.82%E -5.01%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -12.05%E -5.60%K -10.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-07 14:39
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.95%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -12.87%E -6.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-07 15:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.32%E -0.788%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -14.09%E -6.71%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 14:48
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-05-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-07 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-07 15:00
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%4.3%2026-05-07 15:00