La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jelena Ostapenko v Elena Gabriela Ruse
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jelena Ostapenko (Local)
Predicción 59.09%1.69momio equitativo
EV -0.725%
Ventaja -0.431%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.70%59.27%58.91%63.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.551.531.6868.03%64.44%65.36%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visitante)
Predicción 40.91%2.44momio equitativo
EV +7.59%
Ventaja +2.88%
Kelly +4.65%
Crecimiento +0.353%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.17%40.73%41.09%44.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.422.402.6347.62%41.32%41.67%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Casumo | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| betPARX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -11.95%E -8.02%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +7.59%E +2.88%K +4.65%G +0.353% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -11.36%E -7.57%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +6.36%E +2.45%K +3.97%G +0.253% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -12.54%E -8.48%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +6.36%E +2.45%K +3.97%G +0.253% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -12.54%E -8.48%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV +4.31%E +1.69%K +2.78%G +0.120% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -13.13%E -8.93%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +4.31%E +1.69%K +2.78%G +0.120% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -13.13%E -8.93%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +4.31%E +1.69%K +2.78%G +0.120% | 7.2% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +0.223%E +0.091%K +0.154%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -9.00%E -5.84%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +0.223%E +0.091%K +0.154%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Neds | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.70%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -10.18%E -6.70%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -11.36%E -7.57%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -1.82%E -0.759%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.68%E -2.26%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.80%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.63%E -4.20%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.87%E -1.65%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:55 |
| GTbets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -0.725%E -0.431%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -4.69%E -2.01%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-07 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.50%E -2.38%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 14:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -3.09%E -1.88%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -6.32%E -2.76%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 14:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.09%E -1.88%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.73%E -2.95%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 14:39 |
| Betsson | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.09%E -1.88%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.73%E -2.95%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 14:39 |
| ReBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.09%E -1.88%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.73%E -2.95%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 14:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.73%E -2.95%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.27%E -2.64%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.96%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 14:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.22%E -4.60%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.96%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 14:54 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -9.59%E -6.27%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -7.96%E -3.54%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.32%E -0.788%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.00%E -4.55%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 14:58 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.45%E -3.41%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.00%E -4.55%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.50%E -1.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.05%E -5.60%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -7.82%E -5.01%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -12.05%E -5.60%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-07 14:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.95%EV -4.86%E -3.02%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -12.87%E -6.04%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -1.32%E -0.788%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -14.09%E -6.71%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 14:48 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 15:00 |