Langue:Français
Jasmine Paolini v Elise Mertens
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jasmine Paolini (Local)
Prévision 45.34%2.21cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -2.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.00%45.31%45.28%46.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.102.102.1550.00%47.68%47.62%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Elise Mertens (Visiteur)
Prévision 54.66%1.83cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.584%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.81
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.05%54.69%54.72%56.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.731.721.8160.61%57.94%58.14%55.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jasmine Paolini (Local) : 45.34% ; Elise Mertens (Visiteur) : 54.66%. Pour Elise Mertens (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.83. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.81, pour une espérance de -1.06% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 10:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 20:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 08:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 09:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.89%E -1.83%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.06%E -0.584%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-09 09:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 10:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 06:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.98%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 07:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 10:12 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 08:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 01:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 03:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 12:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 12:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 10:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 10:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 10:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.62%E -4.51%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 10:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.80%E -5.94%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 07:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.25%E -2.51%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 06:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.25%E -2.51%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 06:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.79%E -2.15%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -6.16%E -2.97%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.60%E -0.891%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 11:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 06:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 06:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 07:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 10:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 03:48 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 10:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 10:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.62%E -4.51%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 10:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 10:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 10:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 10:14 |
| Novig◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 10:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 10:14 |