Idioma:Español
Jasmine Paolini v Elise Mertens
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jasmine Paolini (Local)
Predicción 45.34%2.21momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -2.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.00%45.31%45.28%46.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.1550.00%47.68%47.62%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elise Mertens (Visitante)
Predicción 54.66%1.83momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.584%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%54.69%54.72%56.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.731.721.8160.61%57.94%58.14%55.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jasmine Paolini (Local): 45.34%; Elise Mertens (Visitante): 54.66%. Para Elise Mertens (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.83. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.81, con un valor esperado de -1.06%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 10:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 20:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 08:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 09:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.89%E -1.83%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.06%E -0.584%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-09 09:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 10:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 06:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.98%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 07:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 10:12 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 08:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 01:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 03:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 12:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 12:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 10:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 10:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 10:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.62%E -4.51%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 10:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 19:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.80%E -5.94%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 07:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.25%E -2.51%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 06:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.25%E -2.51%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 06:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.79%E -2.15%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -6.16%E -2.97%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.60%E -0.891%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 11:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 06:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 06:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 07:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 15:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 10:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 03:48 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 10:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 10:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.62%E -4.51%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 10:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 08:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 06:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 10:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 10:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 10:14 |
| Novig◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 10:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 1.7% | 2026-05-09 10:14 |