مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jasmine Paolini v Elise Mertens

البداية: 2026-05-09 11:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jasmine Paolini (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.34%2.21السعر العادل
EV -2.53%
الأفضلية -1.18%
Kelly -2.20%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.00%45.31%45.28%46.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.102.102.1550.00%47.68%47.62%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Elise Mertens (الضيف)

التنبؤ 54.66%1.83السعر العادل
EV -1.06%
الأفضلية -0.584%
Kelly -1.30%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.81

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.05%54.69%54.72%56.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.731.721.8160.61%57.94%58.14%55.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:24
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.53%E -1.18%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 20:19
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 08:44
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:25
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:25
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:25
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:25
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:25
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:25
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:25
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:25
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:25
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:25
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:25
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.98%E -1.39%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:25
Coolbet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -3.44%E -1.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 09:08
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -3.89%E -1.83%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -1.06%E -0.584%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-09 09:09
ReBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 10:14
NordicBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 11:50
Betsson2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 11:50
Unibet (UK)2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 06:09
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.98%E -3.47%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 08:34
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -4.34%E -2.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 09:10
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 07:03
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 10:12
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 08:35
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 08:34
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 01:14
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 03:49
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 12:14
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 12:14
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 14:34
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 14:35
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 10:24
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 10:29
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 10:29
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.62%E -4.51%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 10:29
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 19:25
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.16%E -4.86%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 19:25
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.80%E -2.28%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.80%E -5.94%K -15.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 07:49
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.25%E -2.51%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 06:14
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.25%E -2.51%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 06:30
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.79%E -2.15%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 08:34
PointsBet (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.70%E -2.74%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 08:34
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -6.16%E -2.97%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.52%E -3.81%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 06:29
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.60%E -0.891%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 11:44
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 06:14
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.34%E -2.48%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 06:28
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 07:04
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.88%E -2.81%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 15:34
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 08:34
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 10:14
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 03:48
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 10:29
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 10:30
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.06%E -3.45%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.62%E -4.51%K -11.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 08:34
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.24%E -1.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 10:14
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.43%E -3.14%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 08:34
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.33%E -4.66%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.07%E -4.16%K -10.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 06:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-09 10:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-05-09 10:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-05-09 10:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-05-09 10:14
Novig2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-05-09 10:14
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%1.7%2026-05-09 10:14