Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaqueline Cristian v Beatriz Haddad Maia

Kickoff: 2026-05-07 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaqueline Cristian (Local)

Prediction 65.70%1.52fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -5.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.16%65.82%65.85%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.441.451.4871.94%69.25%68.97%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Beatriz Haddad Maia (Visit)

Prediction 34.30%2.92fair odd
EV +2.91%
Edge +0.969%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%34.18%34.15%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.752.703.0039.22%36.39%37.04%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaqueline Cristian (Local): 65.70%; Beatriz Haddad Maia (Visit): 34.30%. For Beatriz Haddad Maia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -5.39%E -3.75%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV +2.91%E +0.969%K +1.45%G +0.042%2.8%2026-05-05 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +2.91%E +0.969%K +1.45%G +0.042%4.8%2026-05-04 16:40
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -7.37%E -5.22%K -17.97%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV +0.848%E +0.288%K +0.437%G +0.004%4.9%2026-05-05 14:34
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV +0.162%E +0.055%K +0.084%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-05 14:34
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.524%E -0.181%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-05 17:15
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.524%E -0.181%K -0.276%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 14:34
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.524%E -0.181%K -0.276%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 14:34
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 15:25
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 14:34
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.24%E -0.786%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 23:50
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.66%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.34%EV -2.93%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-05 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.41%EV -2.93%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-05 20:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-05 20:00
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.39%E -3.75%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.64%E -1.67%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-05 20:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.39%E -3.75%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 20:00
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.39%E -3.75%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 21:20
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 06:50
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-05 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 23:49
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 23:49
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 23:50
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 20:00
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -6.36%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-05 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -7.04%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-05 19:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-05 20:00
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 19:59
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 19:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-05 20:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.08%E -2.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 20:00
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 19:57
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.02%E -5.73%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 15:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%EV -8.68%E -6.24%K -22.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 14:31
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -3.42%E -2.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -8.41%E -3.15%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 19:53
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -8.76%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-05 20:00
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.77%E -1.87%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.10%E -3.43%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.08%E -2.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.10%E -3.43%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -4.08%E -2.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -4.08%E -2.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 20:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 20:00
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.39%E -3.75%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.81%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 20:00
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.71%E -4.72%K -15.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -12.53%E -4.91%K -8.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-05 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-05-05 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-05-05 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.4%2026-05-05 17:50
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%3.7%2026-05-06 04:05
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 63.73%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.27%12.1%2026-05-05 21:20